5225 Two Notch Rd · Forest Acres, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 5225 Two Notch Rd, a classic bungalow-style property that combines character, convenience, and opportunity. Ideally located just minutes from Downtown Columbia, the University of South Carolina, and Fort Jackson, with quick access to I-20 and I-77, this property sits in one of Columbia’s most connected corridors—perfect for both residential living and business visibility. Currently used as a residential home, this property is zoned for commercial use, offering incredible flexibility. Whether you envision it as a personal residence, home office, small business, or investment property, the possibilities are endless. Enjoy the convenience of a high-traffic location while
Key facts
- Screened back porch
- Bungalow style
- 0.29 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Cable TV available
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; House faces southeast
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered back porch; Screened back porch; Vinyl exterior; Rear chain-link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Formica countertops; Painted cabinets; Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Dishwasher; Free-standing smooth-surface range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with tub/shower, shared bath access, ceiling fan, private closet, hardwood and tile floors (located on the main level); Second bedroom with shared bath, walk-in closet, ceiling fan, private closet, hardwood floors (located on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms and living room; Tile flooring in master bedroom; Luxury vinyl plank flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Attic access
- Laundry & utility: Electric hookup for laundry located on a porch/unheated space (laundry area on lower level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-635/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (5.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#39 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Satchel Ford Elementary (math 62% / reading 61%, grade B, #76 of 597 statewide, top 13%, 631 students, 100% FRL); W.J. Keenan High (math 54% / reading 77%, grade B, #83 of 196 statewide, top 43%, 725 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 31% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.38%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $16,488
- Equity at exit
- $74,146
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $63,439
- Equity at exit
- $114,268
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29204-2940
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,324 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,988/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5437 Ransom Dr Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,531 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1931 Chaney St Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1115 Carter St Columbia, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,405 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 201 Redwood Ct Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5867 Ames Rd Columbia, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3431 Covenant Rd Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,016 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4215 Bethel Church Rd Columbia, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,222 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4214 Bethel Church Rd Columbia, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $1,199 | $1.12 | 11d | 9 | 1.26mi |
| 5779 Ames Rd Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,000 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5779 Ames Rd Unit 13B Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,000 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3015 English Ave Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-02$164,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,988 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,988 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,891
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,988
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,271
- − Management
- −$1,271
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$3,498
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$839
- After-tax cash flow
- $204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503360
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,931
- Composite
- 25.94/100
- National rank
- #7335
- State rank
- #54 of 80 in SC
Livability — Forest Acres
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #5064
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-0.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $164,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-01 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $164,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-10-21 Listed $165,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,988 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…