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6316 Danielson Loop
D- Composite 36.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$364,900

6316 Danielson Loop · Wildwood, FL 32163
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 2021 6,709 sqft lot Est $344k · 6% over $204/mo HOA · 8% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Discover this beautifully upgraded Bougainvillea model in the Village of Citrus Grove, offering a perfect blend of style, comfort, and thoughtful design. Step inside to an OPEN-CONCEPT layout enhanced with CROWN MOLDING, a spacious KITCHEN ISLAND, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and a convenient WHOLE HOUSE FILTER AND WATER SOFTNER SYSTEM. The primary suite delivers a true spa-inspired experience, complete with a CUSTOM CLOSET SYSTEM and a serene, luxurious bathroom. CUSTOM BUILT-INS elevate the living room, dining room, and office, adding both elegance and functionality throughout the home. Enjoy peaceful m

Key facts

  • Custom closet system
  • Bougainvillea model
  • Kitchen island

Tags

BOUGAINVILLEA MODELOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTCROWN MOLDINGKITCHEN ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCUSTOM CLOSET SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Pickleball courts; Shuffleboard courts; Recreation facilities; Community mailbox; Deed restrictions; Dog park; Golf (community); Golf carts allowed; Irrigation with reclaimed water; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed; Monthly fees (approx. $204) / Annual fees (approx. $2,448); CDD present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Patio; Screened porch; Sprinkler (metered); Irrigation equipment

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Kitchen open to family room; Open floorplan; Window treatments (shades)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-779 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (37.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (27.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,339 (37.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
3.73%
Cash-on-cash
-9.15%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$343,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6316 Danielson Loop 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,392 (0%) 1mo $360,000 $259 100
6370 Danielson Loop 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,459 (+5%) 1mo $395,000 $271 84
493 Kayla Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,426 (+2%) 0mo $338,000 $237 75
6342 Whittle Ct 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,426 (+2%) 1mo $285,000 $200 71
6338 Flaxmayer Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,361 (-2%) 3mo $335,000 $246 68
289 Zingale Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,392 (0%) 5mo $301,999 $217 67
578 Kaolin Path 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,484 (+7%) 6mo $383,000 $258 62
284 Pelchat Pl 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,361 (-2%) 11mo $319,000 $234 57
6273 Windham Way 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,465 (+5%) 3mo $333,000 $227 57
6222 Dingman Way 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,524 (+10%) 8mo $530,000 $348 56
6223 Atkinson Ln 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,203 (-14%) 2mo $297,500 $247 46
320 Zingale Ln 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,262 (-9%) 10mo $325,000 $258 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$149,389
Equity at exit
$328,731
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$479,425
Equity at exit
$708,920

Cash invested: $102,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32163

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,640 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$595 /mo · $7,141/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$204
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$554
Net cashflow
$-779

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,626
Max offer price $227,339
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-572 -5% $-675 +0% $-779 +5% $-882 +10% $-985
Rent -10% $-987 -5% $-883 +0% $-779 +5% $-674 +10% $-570
Rate -1.0pp $-595 -0.5pp $-686 base $-779 +0.5pp $-873 +1.0pp $-969

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,225
Closing costs
$10,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6502 McKnight Loop Unit 1525259P The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,711 $1.19 0d 1 0.79mi
6743 Mary Loop The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $2,500 $1.80 26d 1 1.10mi
6551 Mason Pl Unit 1545857P The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1593 $4,056 $2.55 18d 1 1.11mi
5806 Winn Way Unit 1525269P Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,770 $1.14 23d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$204 · $2,448/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $364,900
  3. 2026-04-02
    listed $379,900 Active
  4. 2023-10-30
    historical $822
  5. 2023-10-29
    listed $822

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,141 · $595/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,141 · $595/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,686
− Mortgage interest
−$20,440
− Property taxes
−$7,141
− Insurance
−$1,824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,535
− Management
−$2,535
− HOA
−$2,448
− Depreciation
−$10,615
Taxable loss
−$15,853
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,805
After-tax cash flow
$-5,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
83,973
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,549
Household income
$96,775
Rent vs Own
5.7% rent · 94.3% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.47%
Current HPI
229.0075
Rent YoY
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $364,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $379,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-30 Rental Removed $822 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-10-29 Listed for Rent $822 TURBOTENANT

Property tax history

+24.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,141 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…