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1267 Graf St
C- Composite 54.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1267 Graf St · Muskegon, MI 49442
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1930 7,492 sqft lot $180/sqft · 6% above area Est $177k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.

Key facts

  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential single-family residence; Living area reported as 1,041 (units not shown)
  • Financial info: Tax details not included per instructions
  • HOA & community: Has association

Exterior

  • Parking: Tandem parking; 1-car garage (detached)
  • Security: Not specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer and power not specified
  • Home design: Single-family ranch-style residence; Built in 1930; Facing direction not specified; Entry level not specified; 1 story (ranch)
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Year built 1930
  • Exterior features: Unimproved road surface; 0.3-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Flooring: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 2 total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Orchard View Schools (rural): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #479 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $150k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,447 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.38%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,547
List price
$149,900
Delta
-15.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1341 Mclaughlin Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 830 (-0%) 8mo $185,000 $223 74
1255 Langeland Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-5%) 2mo $109,900 $139 61
1647 New St 0.53mi 3/1.0 900 (+8%) 2mo $130,000 $144 60
1666 New St 0.54mi 3/1.0 920 (+11%) 4mo $129,900 $141 54
1318 Catherine Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 760 (-9%) 8mo $87,500 $115 53
1885 E Isabella Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 6mo $110,000 $153 51
1147 Mclaughlin Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 902 (+8%) 1mo $145,000 $161 50
1060 Green St 0.65mi 3/1.0 948 (+14%) 0mo $173,000 $182 46
1146 Kampenga Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-8%) 9mo $154,000 $201 42
936 West St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (+11%) 4mo $150,000 $163 40
1485 West St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 5mo $115,000 $160 40
1192 Oak Grove St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 6mo $129,900 $180 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-9,574
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$34,074
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49442

Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,215
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
410 Glen Oaks Dr Muskegon, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 638 $1,204 $1.89 20d 55 0.99mi
1126 Holt St Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 708 $1,095 $1.55 20d 1 1.16mi
221 Donald St Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,600 $2.08 20d 1 1.35mi
1000 Marquette Ave Muskegon, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 870 $1,270 $1.46 20d 1 1.42mi
860 Marquette Ave Unit 15 Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,325 $1.23 43d 1 1.49mi
860 Marquette Ave Unit 16 Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 20d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-04-25
    listed $149,900 Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.

  13. 2026-04-25
    listed $149,900 Active 887-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.

  14. 2026-04-25
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.

  15. 2008-09-08
    soldstatus $34,000
  16. 2008-09-08
    soldstatus $34,000
  17. 2008-04-22
    listed $34,000
  18. 2008-04-22
    listed $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,334 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,821 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$487/yr (+$41/mo · 36.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,374
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,334
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,310
− Management
−$1,310
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$261
After-tax cash flow
$1,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orchard View Schools
NCES district ID
2626760
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,637
Composite
15.44/100
National rank
#9314
State rank
#479 of 540 in MI

Livability — Muskegon

Score
79/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#2096

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
City population
44,766
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,766
Household income
$48,563
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
1598.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.87%
Current HPI
287.0558
Rent YoY
▲ 8.21%
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+340.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-09-08 Sold (MLS) $34,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-08 Sold (MLS) $34,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2008-04-22 Listed $34,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-04-22 Listed $34,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,334 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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