1267 Graf St · Muskegon, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.
Key facts
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential single-family residence; Living area reported as 1,041 (units not shown)
- Financial info: Tax details not included per instructions
- HOA & community: Has association
Exterior
- Parking: Tandem parking; 1-car garage (detached)
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer and power not specified
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style residence; Built in 1930; Facing direction not specified; Entry level not specified; 1 story (ranch)
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Year built 1930
- Exterior features: Unimproved road surface; 0.3-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 2 total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Orchard View Schools (rural): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #479 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $150k implies a 341% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.38%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,547
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -15.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1341 Mclaughlin Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 830 (-0%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $223 | 74 |
| 1255 Langeland Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-5%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $139 | 61 |
| 1647 New St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $144 | 60 |
| 1666 New St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 920 (+11%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $141 | 54 |
| 1318 Catherine Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 760 (-9%) | 8mo | $87,500 | $115 | 53 |
| 1885 E Isabella Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-14%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 1147 Mclaughlin Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 902 (+8%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $161 | 50 |
| 1060 Green St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (+14%) | 0mo | $173,000 | $182 | 46 |
| 1146 Kampenga Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-8%) | 9mo | $154,000 | $201 | 42 |
| 936 West St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+11%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $163 | 40 |
| 1485 West St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-14%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $160 | 40 |
| 1192 Oak Grove St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-14%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $180 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,574
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $34,074
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49442
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 289
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Glen Oaks Dr Muskegon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $1,204 | $1.89 | 20d | 55 | 0.99mi |
| 1126 Holt St Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,095 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 221 Donald St Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,600 | $2.08 | 20d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1000 Marquette Ave Muskegon, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 870 | $1,270 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 860 Marquette Ave Unit 15 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,325 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 860 Marquette Ave Unit 16 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-25$149,900 Active 884-char remark
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.
-
2026-04-25$149,900 Active 887-char remark
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.
-
2026-04-25$149,900 Active
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Welcome to this well-designed 3-bedroom home offering over 1,000 square feet of efficient, comfortable living space with a layout that truly works. The spacious living room is filled with natural light and flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen, creating an ideal setup for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features two well-sized bedrooms and a full bath, while the primary bedroom provides a private and comfortable retreat. Every area of the home is thoughtfully arranged to maximize space, flow, and functionality. The lower level adds valuable additional space with room for a recreation area, home office, or flexible use, along with dedicated storage and a large utility area offering both convenience and future potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers a strong combination of layout, space, and value.
-
2008-09-08soldstatus $34,000
-
2008-09-08soldstatus $34,000
-
2008-04-22$34,000
-
2008-04-22$34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,334 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$487/yr (+$41/mo · 36.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,334
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,310
- − Management
- −$1,310
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$1,087
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$261
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orchard View Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2626760
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,637
- Composite
- 15.44/100
- National rank
- #9314
- State rank
- #479 of 540 in MI
Livability — Muskegon
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #2096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- City population
- 44,766
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,766
- Household income
- $48,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1598.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.87%
- Current HPI
- 287.0558
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.21%
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+340.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-12 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-09-08 Sold (MLS) $34,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-09-08 Sold (MLS) $34,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-04-22 Listed $34,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-22 Listed $34,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,334 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…