🏷️ Likely Rental
1174 Davis St E · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package !
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Corner lot
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.69%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,948
- List price
- $116,000
- Delta
- -38.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1164 S Jackson Springs Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 2,042 (-7%) | 7mo | $328,000 | $161 | 59 |
| 944 Nottingham Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,301 (+5%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $122 | 56 |
| 865 Nottingham Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,121 (-3%) | 5mo | $208,400 | $98 | 55 |
| 861 Nottingham Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 2,264 (+3%) | 16mo | $299,000 | $132 | 47 |
| 996 Summit Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 2,379 (+8%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $80 | 45 |
| 1636 Huntley Ridge Dr | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-4%) | 10mo | $173,000 | $82 | 40 |
| 1827 Long Ridge Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,029 (-8%) | 17mo | $196,000 | $97 | 39 |
| 532 Woolfolk St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,932 (-12%) | 7mo | $52,500 | $27 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $11,681
- Equity at exit
- $17,296
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $49,369
- Equity at exit
- $10,030
Cash invested: $32,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31211
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$608
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $946/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,000
- Closing costs
- $3,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1105 Boulevard Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1592 | $1,350 | $0.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 870 Laurel Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2205 | $1,300 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 490 Hall St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 879 Nottingham Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2147 | $1,700 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1933 Deerwood Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,650 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 147 Orange St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $116,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $116,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $116,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $116,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $116,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $116,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $116,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $116,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $116,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $116,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $116,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $116,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $116,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $116,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $116,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $116,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-03-10price $116,000 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package!
-
2026-03-10price $116,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package!
-
2026-02-05$125,000 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package !
-
2026-02-02$125,000 New 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package!
-
2022-04-15soldstatus $115,000
-
2022-04-15soldstatus $115,000
-
2022-03-18$399,000
-
2006-01-03soldstatus $22,212
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $946 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,067 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 12.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,498
- − Property taxes
- −$946
- − Insurance
- −$580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$3,375
- Taxable income
- $4,095
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$983
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,868
- Household income
- $49,202
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1075.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 34% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.58%
- Current HPI
- 174.0861
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+422.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $116,000 MGMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $116,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 MGMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2022-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-15 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MGMLS
- 2022-03-18 Listed $399,000 MGMLS
- 2006-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,212 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $946 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…