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1174 Davis St E 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$116,000

1174 Davis St E · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,193 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1900 0.27 ac lot $53/sqft · 39% below area Est $190k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package !

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Corner lot
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOTCOVERED FRONT PORCHEND OF STREET PRIVACY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $116,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$189,948) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.25%
Cash-on-cash
17.69%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,948
List price
$116,000
Delta
-38.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1164 S Jackson Springs Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 2,042 (-7%) 7mo $328,000 $161 59
944 Nottingham Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,301 (+5%) 1mo $280,000 $122 56
865 Nottingham Dr 0.60mi 2/1.5 (-1) 2,121 (-3%) 5mo $208,400 $98 55
861 Nottingham Dr 0.60mi 3/2.5 2,264 (+3%) 16mo $299,000 $132 47
996 Summit Ave 0.39mi 3/2.5 2,379 (+8%) 20mo $190,000 $80 45
1636 Huntley Ridge Dr 0.67mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,100 (-4%) 10mo $173,000 $82 40
1827 Long Ridge Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 2,029 (-8%) 17mo $196,000 $97 39
532 Woolfolk St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,932 (-12%) 7mo $52,500 $27 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$11,681
Equity at exit
$17,296
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$49,369
Equity at exit
$10,030

Cash invested: $32,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31211

Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,537 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$608
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $946/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $931
Max offer price $116,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,000
Closing costs
$3,480
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1105 Boulevard Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1592 $1,350 $0.85 20d 1 0.18mi
870 Laurel Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 2205 $1,300 $0.59 43d 1 0.47mi
490 Hall St Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1596 $1,850 $1.16 43d 1 0.55mi
879 Nottingham Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 2147 $1,700 $0.79 13d 1 0.62mi
850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,700 $1.12 43d 1 0.66mi
850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,700 $1.12 20d 1 0.66mi
1933 Deerwood Pl Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1572 $1,650 $1.05 13d 1 0.93mi
147 Orange St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 13d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $116,000 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $116,000 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $116,000 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $116,000 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $116,000 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $116,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $116,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $116,000 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $116,000 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $116,000 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $116,000 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $116,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $116,000 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $116,000 Active 116 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $116,000 Active 115 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $116,000 Active 114 DOM
  17. 2026-03-10
    price $116,000 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package!

  18. 2026-03-10
    price $116,000 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package!

  19. 2026-02-05
    listed $125,000 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package !

  20. 2026-02-02
    listed $125,000 New 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Perfect investment home to add to your portfolio! This 3BR/2.5 brick home is located on a large corner lot with end of street privacy and covered front porch. Currently section 8 long term tenant at $950 per month. Do not disturb tenant! Adjacent 1154 Davis Circle can also be purchased as a package!

  21. 2022-04-15
    soldstatus $115,000
  22. 2022-04-15
    soldstatus $115,000
  23. 2022-03-18
    listed $399,000
  24. 2006-01-03
    soldstatus $22,212

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$946 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,067 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$121/yr (+$10/mo · 12.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,445
− Mortgage interest
−$6,498
− Property taxes
−$946
− Insurance
−$580
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,476
− Management
−$1,476
− Depreciation
−$3,375
Taxable income
$4,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$983
After-tax cash flow
$4,763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,868
Household income
$49,202
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1075.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 34% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.58%
Current HPI
174.0861
Rent YoY
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+422.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $116,000 MGMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $116,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 MGMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-15 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MGMLS
  • 2022-03-18 Listed $399,000 MGMLS
  • 2006-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,212 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $946 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…