610 W Canadian Ave · Vinita, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$81,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great location on popular st. Large 2 story with covered front porch with metal roof and vinyl siding. Home has 2 newer c/h/a systems. Sale includes: dishwasher, stove, refrigerator and washer & dryer.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Metal roof
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2 stories; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fencing; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet (Second level); Bedroom without bath (Second level); Bedroom without bath (First level)
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric); Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Insulated doors; Laminate counters
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Utility room (inside)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $81k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.7% in Vinita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#227 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vinita (town): math 24% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #156 of 270 in OK (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Craig County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($560 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Craig County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.78%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $336,672
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 N Miller St | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 | 2,442 (-9%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 1103 W Canadian Ave | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,500 (-6%) | 24mo | $315,000 | $126 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $75,152
- Equity at exit
- $72,971
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.68×
- Total profit
- $196,929
- Equity at exit
- $157,365
Cash invested: $22,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74301
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$425
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,023/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,250
- Closing costs
- $2,430
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $81,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $81,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $81,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $81,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $81,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $81,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $81,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $81,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $81,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $81,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $81,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 102-char remark
-
2026-06-01$81,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,023 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,023 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,537
- − Property taxes
- −$1,023
- − Insurance
- −$405
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$2,356
- Taxable income
- $4,832
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vinita
- NCES district ID
- 4031290
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,171
- Composite
- 18.37/100
- National rank
- #8943
- State rank
- #156 of 270 in OK
Livability — Vinita
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #15843
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vinita, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,126
Population outlook (Craig County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,522 people
- By 2030
- 14,263 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 13,814 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 13,457 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 13,123 · -9.6%
- By 2100
- 12,323 · -15.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Native American 20% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craig
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.3) · D 20.0% · R 78.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -58.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.3 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.37%
- Current HPI
- 262.4336
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+170.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $81,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-04-12 Listed $92,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-04-06 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-10-06 Listed $88,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-10-02 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-05-11 Listed $88,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-04-02 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-10-03 Listed $98,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-05-13 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-03-21 Listed $14,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1998-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,023 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…