Duplex
25 N Perry St · Johnstown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Invest in yourself this year! This home does need quite a bit of work but offers a golden opportunity to buy a 2-family home on a corner lot. Already outfitted with separate utilities and newer furnaces/hot water heaters. Features large open kitchens with a garage. SOLD AS IS, Go and see the potential
Key facts
- New electrical
- Gas line
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space); Total 2 parking spaces; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 2,165
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 total rooms (contains bedroom count not specified); Unit 2: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the 1st floor, one on the 2nd floor); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Other laundry feature
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $737/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 4.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in NY, #2,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-.
- Johnstown City School District (town): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #509 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.48%
- DSCR
- 3.96
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 N Perry St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,165 (0%) | 10mo | $64,000 | $30 | 92 |
| 10 E Green St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 2,058 (-5%) | 3mo | $113,000 | $55 | 86 |
| 25 N Melcher St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 2,232 (+3%) | 8mo | $74,000 | $33 | 77 |
| 304 N Market St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,060 (-5%) | 7mo | $143,630 | $70 | 74 |
| 106 Dove St | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,180 (+1%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $58 | 67 |
| 6 E Clinton St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 2,080 (-4%) | 19mo | $119,000 | $57 | 66 |
| 12 1/2 E Clinton St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,840 (-15%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $81 | 59 |
| 317 W Clinton St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,984 (-8%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $60 | 55 |
| 107 Prospect St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,936 (-11%) | 16mo | $160,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 8 Fon Clair St | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,448 (+13%) | 7mo | $119,500 | $49 | 52 |
| 30 Cady St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,988 (-8%) | 17mo | $169,600 | $85 | 49 |
| 28 W Madison Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 2,348 (+8%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $70 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.48×
- Total profit
- $145,662
- Equity at exit
- $85,584
- IRR
- 72.0%
- Equity multiple
- 14.36×
- Total profit
- $355,277
- Equity at exit
- $184,564
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12095
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,749 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,924/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$577
- Net cashflow
- $1,474
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,748 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,374 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,374 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,749 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 190-char remark
-
2026-06-16$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,924 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,924 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,924
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,639
- − Management
- −$2,639
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $17,226
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,134
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnstown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615980
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,999
- Composite
- 34.89/100
- National rank
- #5082
- State rank
- #509 of 590 in NY
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #2603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,013
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.82%
- Current HPI
- 297.365
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+287.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $95,000 Global MLS
- 2025-08-22 Sold (MLS) $64,000 Global MLS
- 2025-07-25 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-07-18 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2025-06-28 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-06-25 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2025-05-14 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2025-04-04 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2025-04-04 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-03-24 Listed $64,900 Global MLS
- 2005-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $40,563 Public Records
- 1999-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,924 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…