CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
805 Dipper Ln #2
D- Composite 38.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Schools +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$388,000

805 Dipper Ln #2 · Aurora, OH 44202
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,839 sqft · Townhouse public records · 48 Days on market
Built 2023 2,265 sqft lot $211/sqft · 15% above area Est $415k · 7% under $90/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Modern townhouse for serene, effortless living. Pristine spacious townhome with modern design and flare. Open concept layout with tons of normal light adorn the 1st floor with a beautiful kitchen and amble cabinetry, backsplash, island and granite countertops. Mudroom, pantry closet, and open foyer open to spacious living room area with floor to ceiling custom shiplap with a fireplace. Morning room for use as a home office or sitting room leads to a tranquil paver stone patio with plenty of privacy for family get togethers. Large master suite with on suite bath featuring double vanities, shower, and separate water closet. Master has amble walk-in closet and sitting area/den, 2 additional bedrooms featuring walk-in and bare windows additional full second floor bath. 2nd floor laundry for total convenience. Powder room on main level. 2 car garage. Association handles lawn care and snow removal. Make this an effortless, serene community! Come out and visit today!

Key facts

  • Beautiful kitchen
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Granite countertops

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTBEAUTIFUL KITCHENAMPLE CABINETRYGRANITE COUNTERTOPSFIREPLACEMORNING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $388k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-462 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (21.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (25.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.5% in Aurora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#258 in OH, #4,104 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Aurora City (suburban): math 79% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #35 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 196 units permitted in Portage County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $290,006 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.11%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$415,285
List price
$388,000
Delta
-6.57%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
950-4 Memory Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,854 (+1%) 2mo $399,990 $216 92
885 Dipper Ln #1 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,910 (+4%) 1mo $374,500 $196 86
870 Dipper Ln #2 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,910 (+4%) 3mo $329,500 $173 85
950-1 Memory Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+12%) 1mo $430,000 $209 74
950-2 Memory Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+12%) 2mo $420,000 $204 74
950-5 Memory Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+12%) 4mo $430,000 $209 73
950-3 Memory Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 2,064 (+12%) 3mo $412,000 $200 72
965-1 Memory Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 2,064 (+12%) 5mo $435,000 $211 72
960-1 Memory Ln 0.08mi 3/2.5 2,064 (+12%) 5mo $425,000 $206 71
850-1 Dipper Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 2,107 (+15%) 7mo $380,000 $180 66
835-2 Dipper Ln 0.18mi 3/2.5 2,112 (+15%) 3mo $380,000 $180 65
250 Sandover Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,693 (-8%) 2mo $385,000 $227 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.0%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-92,229
Equity at exit
$57,852
10-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-117,868
Equity at exit
$33,547

Cash invested: $108,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44202

Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,035
Tax from tax record
$467 /mo · $5,604/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$90
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$-462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,485
Max offer price $306,332
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-243 -5% $-352 +0% $-462 +5% $-572 +10% $-682
Rent -10% $-691 -5% $-577 +0% $-462 +5% $-348 +10% $-233
Rate -1.0pp $-267 -0.5pp $-364 base $-462 +0.5pp $-563 +1.0pp $-665

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,000
Closing costs
$11,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7340 Ferris ST Aurora, OH 3.0 1.0–3.0 1138 $3,230 $2.84 2d 1 0.69mi
1177 Moneta Ave Aurora, OH 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,500 $1.51 44d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$90 · $1,080/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingsnow removal

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    price $388,000 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Modern townhouse for serene, effortless living. Pristine spacious townhome with modern design and flare. Open concept layout with tons of normal light adorn the 1st floor with a beautiful kitchen and amble cabinetry, backsplash, island and granite countertops. Mudroom, pantry closet, and open foyer open to spacious living room area with floor to ceiling custom shiplap with a fireplace. Morning room for use as a home office or sitting room leads to a tranquil paver stone patio with plenty of privacy for family get togethers. Large master suite with on suite bath featuring double vanities, shower, and separate water closet. Master has amble walk-in closet and sitting area/den, 2 additional bedrooms featuring walk-in and bare windows additional full second floor bath. 2nd floor laundry for total convenience. Powder room on main level. 2 car garage. Association handles lawn care and snow removal. Make this an effortless, serene community! Come out and visit today!

  2. 2026-04-02
    listed $389,900 Active 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Modern townhouse for serene, effortless living. Pristine spacious townhome with modern design and flare. Open concept layout with tons of normal light adorn the 1st floor with a beautiful kitchen and amble cabinetry, backsplash, island and granite countertops. Mudroom, pantry closet, and open foyer open to spacious living room area with floor to ceiling custom shiplap with a fireplace. Morning room for use as a home office or sitting room leads to a tranquil paver stone patio with plenty of privacy for family get togethers. Large master suite with on suite bath featuring double vanities, shower, and separate water closet. Master has amble walk-in closet and sitting area/den, 2 additional bedrooms featuring walk-in and bare windows additional full second floor bath. 2nd floor laundry for total convenience. Powder room on main level. 2 car garage. Association handles lawn care and snow removal. Make this an effortless, serene community! Come out and visit today!

  3. 2026-02-18
    historical
  4. 2026-01-15
    price $394,900
  5. 2025-10-23
    price $399,800
  6. 2025-09-25
    price $404,900
  7. 2025-08-18
    listed $409,900 Active
  8. 2025-08-08
    historical
  9. 2025-07-28
    listed $410,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,604 · $467/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,828 · $486/mo
Expected delta
+$225/yr (+$19/mo · 4.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,801
− Mortgage interest
−$21,734
− Property taxes
−$5,604
− Insurance
−$1,940
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− HOA
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$11,287
Taxable loss
−$12,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,979
After-tax cash flow
$-2,569/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aurora City
NCES district ID
3904917
Math proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
84% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$81,791
Composite
71.93/100
National rank
#213
State rank
#35 of 656 in OH

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#4104

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, OH
County
Portage · 165,699 people
City population
22,857
Metro
Akron, OH
Population (ZIP)
22,857
Household income
$116,556
Rent vs Own
15.8% rent · 84.2% own
Severe rent burden
4.9

Population outlook (Portage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
166,109 people
By 2030
167,752 · +1.0%
By 2040
168,640 · +1.5%
By 2050
167,469 · +0.8%
By 2075
170,131 · +2.4%
By 2100
167,958 · +1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Portage

2024 margin
R (+15.5) · D 41.8% · R 57.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.0pp · 2024: -15.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.5 2020: R+12.5 2016: R+10.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -270.23%
Current HPI
186.4919
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $388,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $389,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $394,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $399,800 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $404,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $409,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-08 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $410,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,604 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…