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1018 S 25th St
B- Composite 67.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

1018 S 25th St · Mount Vernon, IL 62864
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Other · 89 Days on market
Built 1920 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming and cozy home, perfectly located just around the corner from the park! This well-maintained property comfort, convenience, and great value. Features: 2 spacious bedrooms 1 full bathroom Bright living room with natural light Functional kitchen with beautiful fixtures Cozy corner layout with a warm, inviting feel Situated on a generous quarter-acre lot Move-in ready condition No known issues - being sold as-is Location Perks: Quiet neighborhood Walking distance to the park Great for small families, first-time buyers, or investors This home is for anyone looking for a peaceful space with room to enjoy both indoors and out.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1920

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO THE PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing; Listing does not hold earnest money
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces (off-site)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: 50 x 75 lot dimensions; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Aluminum siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level, approximately 12 x 8
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level, approximately 10 x 10; Second bedroom on the main level, approximately 10 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; School bus service available
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room, approximately 5 x 15

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 5.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#413 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201 (town): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #532 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $45k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $42,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
20.92%
Cash-on-cash
52.22%
DSCR
3.32
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.2%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$27,652
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
55.6%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$69,126
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62864

Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $714/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$548

Break-even live

Break-even rent $398
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1407 S 34th St Mt Vernon, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,310 $1.63 43d 7 0.66mi
4100 Willow Spgs Mount Vernon, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 847 $736 $0.87 43d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 71 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 70 DOM
  16. 2026-03-20
    listed $45,000 Active
  17. 2005-05-23
    soldstatus $16,500
  18. 2005-03-05
    listed $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$714 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$868 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$154/yr (+$13/mo · 21.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,102
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$714
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$6,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,497
After-tax cash flow
$5,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1727360
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$38,188
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9648
State rank
#532 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
69/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#8520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,061

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,818 people
By 2030
35,764 · -2.9%
By 2040
33,649 · -8.6%
By 2050
31,557 · -14.3%
By 2075
26,055 · -29.2%
By 2100
19,237 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.5% · R 73.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-37.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.64%
Current HPI
134.2669
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-23 Sold (MLS) $16,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-05 Listed $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $714 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…