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7691 Elkton Pike
A- Composite 80.6
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$125,000

7691 Elkton Pike · Elkton, TN 38477
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1980 Fair condition 0.60 ac lot Est $216k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity in Giles County! Conveniently located to I-65, Less than 10 min to Ardmore, TN, approx 45 minutes to Huntsville, AL. Sold as-is with lots of potential, come check it out today!

Key facts

  • 0.6 acre lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed ($766)

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered parking listed; No total parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Private water; Septic tank; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.6-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Bedroom sizes approximately 10 x 12 and 14 x 12
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Electric range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#325 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Giles County (rural): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #105 of 139 in TN (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Elkton Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Giles Co High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #237 of 332 statewide, top 75%, 703 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Giles County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Giles County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.76%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$215,788
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
276 Long Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,428 (-3%) 21mo $207,900 $146 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$93,671
Equity at exit
$112,610
10-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
8.31×
Total profit
$255,788
Equity at exit
$242,848

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38477

Home prices YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,602 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 206-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $125,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,220
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,538
− Management
−$1,538
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$722
After-tax cash flow
$4,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home presents a moderate renovation opportunity with average condition. Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms, along with freshening the exterior, can significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance and dated design.
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance and need for updating.
  • Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration, minor touch-up needed.
  • Minor Landscaping — Basic appearance, could benefit from some updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Resale Bathroom updates — Updating bathrooms with modern fixtures and finishes can enhance the home's value.
  • Both Exterior painting and landscaping — Fresh paint and landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance and dated design. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance and need for updating. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Exterior siding · Some discoloration, minor touch-up needed. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Basic appearance, could benefit from some updates. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $7,000–36,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Resale Bathroom updates — Updating bathrooms with modern fixtures and finishes can enhance the home's value.
  • Both Exterior painting and landscaping — Fresh paint and landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Giles County
NCES district ID
4701410
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,318
Composite
18.63/100
National rank
#8895
State rank
#105 of 139 in TN

Livability — Elkton

Score
57/100
State rank
#325
US rank
#21687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elkton, TN
City population
128
Population (ZIP)
2,833

Population outlook (Giles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,505 people
By 2030
27,960 · -1.9%
By 2040
26,740 · -6.2%
By 2050
25,665 · -10.0%
By 2075
24,798 · -13.0%
By 2100
25,524 · -10.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 7% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Giles

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.1% · R 77.1%
2008→2024 swing
-35.4pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+49.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+29.2 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.68%
Current HPI
347.487
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $125,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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