CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5721 Lagoon Cruise Way
D Composite 43.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$329,990

5721 Lagoon Cruise Way · Jacksonville, FL 32234
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,317 sqft · SingleFamily · 191 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,500 sqft lot 2-car garage $142/sqft · 10% below area Est $368k · 10% under $100/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming two-story single-family home features a spacious and functional layout, perfect for modern living. The primary suite is conveniently located on the main floor, offering a private retreat with a walk-in closet. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a versatile loft space that can be customized to suit your needs. The heart of the home is the expansive kitchen, which includes a cozy cafe area for casual dining or relaxation. A two-car garage provides ample storage and parking space, completing this well-designed home that combines comfort and practicality.

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Walk-in closet
  • Versatile loft space

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNCOVERED LANAIWALK-IN CLOSETVERSATILE LOFT SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-436 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (19.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (25.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Baldwin Middle-Senior High School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 1,384 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $246,162 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75% ✗
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.66%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$368,495
List price
$329,990
Delta
-10.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5780 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.13mi 4/3.0 2,246 (-3%) 3mo $364,990 $163 84
5729 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.07mi 4/3.0 2,500 (+8%) 1mo $366,990 $147 80
5884 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.20mi 4/3.0 2,172 (-6%) 0mo $350,990 $162 78
5724 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.07mi 4/3.0 2,500 (+8%) 7mo $384,990 $154 76
5797 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,201 (-5%) 6mo $354,000 $161 74
15432 Bareback Dr 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,304 (-1%) 3mo $296,000 $128 72
5733 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.11mi 4/3.0 2,500 (+8%) 9mo $389,990 $156 72
5636 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.19mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,111 (-9%) 0mo $329,990 $156 71
5709 Lagoon Cruise Way 0.18mi 4/3.0 2,500 (+8%) 7mo $387,990 $155 71
15391 Hidden Foal Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,116 (-9%) 2mo $320,000 $151 59
6054 Chestnut Gelding Ln 0.42mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,604 (+12%) 1mo $330,000 $127 52
15528 Bareback Dr 0.56mi 4/4.0 2,553 (+10%) 18mo $358,000 $140 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-30,266
Equity at exit
$103,314
10-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-10,288
Equity at exit
$130,340

Cash invested: $92,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
43 active · 33 under contract
Months of supply
12.3 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$334,990 ($155/sqft)
Median days on market
83 d
This list price
42% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+2.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32234

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
423
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,462 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax est. 1.5%
−$412 /mo · $4,950/yr
Insurance
−$137
HOA
−$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$517
Net cashflow
$-436

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,013
Max offer price $266,928
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-208 -5% $-322 +0% $-436 +5% $-550 +10% $-664
Rent -10% $-630 -5% $-533 +0% $-436 +5% $-339 +10% $-241
Rate -1.0pp $-270 -0.5pp $-352 base $-436 +0.5pp $-521 +1.0pp $-608

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,498
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5724 Lagoon Cruise Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 2494 $2,800 $1.12 145d 1 0.05mi
15246 Hidden Foal Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1730 $1,900 $1.10 153d 1 0.25mi
15180 Bareback Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1840 $1,899 $1.03 127d 1 0.27mi
15574 Palfrey Chase Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1862 $1,995 $1.07 103d 1 0.76mi
6137 Black Stallion Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1862 $1,955 $1.05 103d 1 0.82mi
6137 Black Stallion Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1862 $1,995 $1.07 0d 1 0.82mi
15667 Strawberry Roan Ct Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1733 $2,200 $1.27 0d 1 1.04mi
15729 Equine Gait Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,800 $1.09 5d 1 1.08mi
6092 Bucking Bronco Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1778 $1,995 $1.12 148d 1 1.08mi
6182 Bucking Bronco Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,926 $0.96 5d 1 1.17mi
6182 Bucking Bronco Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,926 $0.96 0d 1 1.17mi
15647 Woodbury Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1638 $2,171 $1.32 0d 9 1.26mi
15818 Queensway Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1446 $2,765 $1.91 0d 1 1.44mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Property on a cleared lot adjacent to greenbeltPrivate road frontage with asphalt surface
HOA & community
Homeowners association with annual feeAssociation fee: $1,200 annuallyAssociation amenities include beach access, clubhouse, dog park, gated community, jogging path, park, playground, and water accessAssociation fee includes internetCDD fee applies (separate amount listed)

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage
Security
Smoke detector(s)
Utilities
Public sewerCable availableElectricity availableWater available
Home design
Single family residenceTwo levelsFaces eastCurrent use listed as residential and multi-family
Construction
Fiber cement and wood siding exteriorShingle roof
Exterior features
Covered rear porchSmoke detector(s)Community pool (not private)

Interior

Kitchen
PantryDisposalElectric ovenMicrowaveElectric water heater
Bedrooms
4 bedrooms (primary on the first floor; additional bedrooms on the second floor)
Flooring
CarpetTile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heating (heat pump)Central air conditioning (electric)
Interior features
Breakfast barOpen floorplanPantryPrimary bathroom has shower (no tub)Primary bedroom on the main levelSplit bedroom layoutWalk-in closet(s)
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupIn-unit laundry

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $329,990 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $329,990 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $329,990 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $329,990 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $329,990 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $329,990 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $329,990 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $329,990 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $329,990 Active 182 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $329,990 Active 181 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $329,990 Active 180 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $329,990 Active 179 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $329,990 Active 178 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $329,990 Active 177 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $329,990 Active 176 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $329,990 Active 175 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $329,990 Active 174 DOM
  18. 2026-10-20
    days on market $329,990 Active 172 DOM
  19. 2026-10-19
    days on market $329,990 Active 171 DOM
  20. 2026-10-18
    days on market $329,990 Active 170 DOM
  21. 2026-10-17
    days on market $329,990 Active 169 DOM
  22. 2026-10-16
    pricedays on market $329,990 Active 168 DOM
  23. 2026-10-15
    days on market $339,990 Active 167 DOM
  24. 2026-10-14
    days on market $339,990 Active 166 DOM
  25. 2026-10-13
    days on market $339,990 Active 165 DOM
  26. 2026-10-12
    days on market $339,990 Active 164 DOM
  27. 2026-10-11
    days on market $339,990 Active 163 DOM
  28. 2026-10-10
    days on market $339,990 Active 162 DOM
  29. 2026-10-09
    pricedays on market $339,990 Active 161 DOM
  30. 2026-10-08
    days on market $349,990 Active 160 DOM
  31. 2026-10-07
    days on market $349,990 Active 159 DOM
  32. 2026-10-06
    days on market $349,990 Active 158 DOM
  33. 2026-10-05
    days on market $349,990 Active 157 DOM
  34. 2026-10-04
    days on market $349,990 Active 156 DOM
  35. 2026-10-03
    days on market $349,990 Active 155 DOM
  36. 2026-10-02
    days on market $349,990 Active 154 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $349,990 Active 153 DOM
  38. 2026-09-30
    days on market $349,990 Active 152 DOM
  39. 2026-09-29
    days on market $349,990 Active 151 DOM
  40. 2026-09-28
    days on market $349,990 Active 150 DOM
  41. 2026-09-27
    days on market $349,990 Active 149 DOM
  42. 2026-09-25
    days on market $349,990 Active 147 DOM
  43. 2026-09-24
    days on market $349,990 Active 146 DOM
  44. 2026-09-23
    days on market $349,990 Active 145 DOM
  45. 2026-09-22
    days on market $349,990 Active 144 DOM
  46. 2026-09-21
    days on market $349,990 Active 143 DOM
  47. 2026-09-19
    days on market $349,990 Active 141 DOM
  48. 2026-09-18
    days on market $349,990 Active 140 DOM
  49. 2026-09-17
    days on market $349,990 Active 139 DOM
  50. 2026-09-16
    days on market $349,990 Active 138 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,539
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$4,950
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,363
− Management
−$2,363
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable loss
−$11,071
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,657
After-tax cash flow
$-2,573/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a fresh, move-in-ready appearance. Minor updates to the interior and curb appeal can further enhance its value and attract potential buyers or renters.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
  • Both Install new light fixtures — Modern lighting can brighten spaces and improve curb appeal. ↑
  • Both Add decorative elements to kitchen island — A decorative backsplash or artwork can enhance the kitchen's visual appeal and functionality. ↑
  • Both Upgrade countertops in kitchen and bathrooms — New countertops can add value and functionality to the home. ↑
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value to the home, especially for potential buyers or renters who prioritize technology. ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 41/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School C- FL #990/2,144 Nat'l #11,263/41,679 Middle Joseph Stilwell Middle School F FL #448/571 Nat'l #8,317/14,009 High Baldwin Middle-Senior High School F FL #328/667 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,013,010 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,678
Household income
$87,331
Rent vs Own
13.6% rent · 86.4% own
Severe rent burden
33% of renters

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

+2.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $357,990 realMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $357,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $347,990 realMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $349,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $349,990 realMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…