2426 Princeton Ave SW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity in the West End area! This one-bedroom, one-bath home features solid cinder block construction with a living room and kitchen. Located on a level lot. Great option for renovation, rental income, or a long-term investment.
Key facts
- Level lot
- Long term investment
- Rental income
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($831 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.0% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $25k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.16%
- DSCR
- 4.61
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,791
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -45.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $23,684
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- 80.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.16×
- Total profit
- $50,110
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35211
- Rents YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $831 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $503/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$175
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $488 | -5% $480 | +0% $473 | +5% $466 | +10% $459 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $408 | -5% $441 | +0% $473 | +5% $506 | +10% $539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $486 | -0.5pp $480 | base $473 | +0.5pp $467 | +1.0pp $460 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $675 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 132 17th St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $945 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5714 Court M Unit 5720 Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1348 41st Street Ensley Unit B Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 460 | $723 | $1.57 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $800 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1045 57th St Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 914 14th St SW Unit A Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $600 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 914 14th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $700 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 914 14th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $600 | $1.03 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 249 Gloria Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $800 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2300 31st St SW Unit ENSLEY2316 A Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,000 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2025-12-03$25,000 Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
Investment opportunity in the West End area! This one-bedroom, one-bath home features solid cinder block construction with a living room and kitchen. Located on a level lot. Great option for renovation, rental income, or a long-term investment.
-
1987-07-21soldstatus $13,000
-
1977-12-01soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $503 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $503 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$503
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$798
- − Management
- −$798
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $5,626
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,924
- Household income
- $34,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2161.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.29%
- Current HPI
- 91.2903
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.01%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Listed $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1987-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 1977-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $503 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…