51 Balm St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.1/15.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just grab your personal belongings and move right in. This property has been renovated. This 3 bedroom home has new carpet, paint, roof, siding and more. Close to shopping, highways and more.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 20 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: 100 Amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Stick-built with vinyl siding
- Construction: Brick/mortar foundation; Fiberglass and asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (3)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Dining area; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,498/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.15%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,782
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 14.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1153 Derry St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (-0%) | 3mo | $116,500 | $98 | 83 |
| 1251 Bailey St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (-12%) | 3mo | $73,500 | $70 | 74 |
| 116 Hoerner St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,283 (+8%) | 1mo | $82,500 | $64 | 71 |
| 1623 Hunter St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (-1%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $72 | 67 |
| 1712 Carnation St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+9%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 1814 Forster St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,259 (+6%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $127 | 60 |
| 1619 Naudain St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-4%) | 3mo | $136,000 | $118 | 56 |
| 1624 Naudain St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (-4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $118 | 56 |
| 924 Grand St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (-4%) | 3mo | $171,000 | $150 | 56 |
| 1816 Boas St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+7%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $90 | 55 |
| 926 Grand St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-10%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $139 | 48 |
| 1833 Rudy Rd | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,030 (-14%) | 3mo | $173,000 | $168 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $27,009
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $103,030
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17103
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,498 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $579 | -5% $554 | +0% $528 | +5% $503 | +10% $477 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $410 | -5% $469 | +0% $528 | +5% $587 | +10% $646 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $573 | -0.5pp $551 | base $528 | +0.5pp $505 | +1.0pp $481 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,150 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 52 N 18th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 916 May St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 810 | $1,250 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,195 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 319 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,135 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,097 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,525 | $1.76 | 14d | 10 | 0.60mi |
| 200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 14d | 14 | 0.66mi |
| 660 Boas St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,574 | $1.97 | 14d | 21 | 0.67mi |
| 101 S 2nd St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,749 | $2.37 | 14d | 32 | 0.68mi |
| 1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 919 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 210 Walnut St Unit 206 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,695 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 918 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 923 N 3rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 853 | $1,495 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 116 Pine St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,638 | $1.82 | 14d | 14 | 0.83mi |
| 1116 N 3rd St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 122 State St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,725 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2016 Swatara St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,175 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 273 Cumberland St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,595 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,545 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,445 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 719 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 618 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1211 Green St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1122 Green St #14 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,895 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 920 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2121 Kensington St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1320 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 352 Harris St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,350 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 644 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 640 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-09$90,000 Active 349-char remark
-
2026-05-07historical $90,000 349-char remark
-
2019-10-18soldstatus $328,000
-
2014-03-28soldstatus $26,000 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Just grab your personal belongings and move right in. This property has been renovated. This 3 bedroom home has new carpet, paint, roof, siding and more. Close to shopping, highways and more.
-
2013-12-17$39,000 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Just grab your personal belongings and move right in. This property has been renovated. This 3 bedroom home has new carpet, paint, roof, siding and more. Close to shopping, highways and more.
-
2013-10-10historical
-
2013-04-12$44,900
-
2009-06-09soldstatus $22,500
-
2009-05-14historical
-
2009-04-28$24,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,748 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,748 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,748
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,438
- − Management
- −$1,438
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $5,240
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,258
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,080/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,115
- Household income
- $39,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1014.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.09%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+261.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $328,000 Public Records
- 2014-03-28 Sold (MLS) $26,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-12-17 Listed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-10-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-04-12 Listed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-09 Sold (MLS) $22,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-05-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-04-28 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,748 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…