CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
51 Balm St
C+ Composite 63.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.1/15.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

51 Balm St · Harrisburg, PA 17103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · Townhouse public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1900 871 sqft lot $76/sqft · 14% above area Est $79k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just grab your personal belongings and move right in. This property has been renovated. This 3 bedroom home has new carpet, paint, roof, siding and more. Close to shopping, highways and more.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: 100 Amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached home; Stick-built with vinyl siding
  • Construction: Brick/mortar foundation; Fiberglass and asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Porch(es)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (3)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Dining area; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,498/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.33%
Cash-on-cash
25.15%
DSCR
2.12
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,782
List price
$90,000
Delta
14.24%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1153 Derry St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,188 (-0%) 3mo $116,500 $98 83
1251 Bailey St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,054 (-12%) 3mo $73,500 $70 74
116 Hoerner St 0.23mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,283 (+8%) 1mo $82,500 $64 71
1623 Hunter St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,180 (-1%) 1mo $85,000 $72 67
1712 Carnation St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+9%) 3mo $65,000 $50 64
1814 Forster St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,259 (+6%) 2mo $160,000 $127 60
1619 Naudain St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-4%) 3mo $136,000 $118 56
1624 Naudain St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,140 (-4%) 1mo $135,000 $118 56
924 Grand St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,138 (-4%) 3mo $171,000 $150 56
1816 Boas St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,272 (+7%) 3mo $115,000 $90 55
926 Grand St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,073 (-10%) 2mo $149,000 $139 48
1833 Rudy Rd 0.70mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,030 (-14%) 3mo $173,000 $168 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$27,009
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$103,030
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17103

Rents YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,498 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$528

Break-even live

Break-even rent $829
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $579 -5% $554 +0% $528 +5% $503 +10% $477
Rent -10% $410 -5% $469 +0% $528 +5% $587 +10% $646
Rate -1.0pp $573 -0.5pp $551 base $528 +0.5pp $505 +1.0pp $481

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 14d 1 0.06mi
1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.08mi
1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1423 $1,995 $1.40 44d 1 0.12mi
1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,150 $0.98 44d 1 0.23mi
1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 900 $1,185 $1.32 44d 1 0.34mi
52 N 18th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 0.44mi
916 May St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5 810 $1,250 $1.54 14d 1 0.50mi
337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,195 $0.83 22d 1 0.53mi
319 Market St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5 990 $1,135 $1.15 44d 1 0.58mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,097 $1.46 44d 1 0.60mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,525 $1.76 14d 10 0.60mi
200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 14d 14 0.66mi
660 Boas St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,574 $1.97 14d 21 0.67mi
101 S 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 736 $1,749 $2.37 14d 32 0.68mi
1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,400 $1.12 24d 1 0.69mi
919 Grand St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5 1116 $1,695 $1.52 24d 1 0.70mi
210 Walnut St Unit 206 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,695 $1.68 14d 1 0.71mi
918 Grand St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 890 $1,450 $1.63 44d 1 0.72mi
1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,400 $1.22 44d 1 0.74mi
923 N 3rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 853 $1,495 $1.75 24d 1 0.78mi
116 Pine St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,638 $1.82 14d 14 0.83mi
1116 N 3rd St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 24d 1 0.87mi
122 State St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,725 $1.38 14d 1 0.87mi
711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 44d 1 0.87mi
2016 Swatara St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,175 $0.85 44d 1 0.88mi
273 Cumberland St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 865 $1,595 $1.84 14d 1 0.88mi
612 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 44d 1 0.88mi
612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,445 $1.38 44d 1 0.88mi
719 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 14d 1 0.89mi
919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,795 $1.23 24d 1 0.89mi
618 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 24d 1 0.89mi
1211 Green St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,095 $1.29 24d 1 0.94mi
1122 Green St #14 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 918 $1,895 $2.06 44d 1 0.94mi
920 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,475 $1.64 14d 1 0.94mi
1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1410 $1,295 $0.92 44d 1 0.98mi
2121 Kensington St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,450 $1.33 44d 1 1.02mi
1320 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1193 $1,495 $1.25 44d 1 1.04mi
352 Harris St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 810 $1,350 $1.67 22d 1 1.05mi
644 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1294 $1,295 $1.00 44d 1 1.09mi
640 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1294 $1,650 $1.28 44d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-05-09
    listed $90,000 Active 349-char remark
  8. 2026-05-07
    historical $90,000 349-char remark
  9. 2019-10-18
    soldstatus $328,000
  10. 2014-03-28
    soldstatus $26,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Just grab your personal belongings and move right in. This property has been renovated. This 3 bedroom home has new carpet, paint, roof, siding and more. Close to shopping, highways and more.

  11. 2013-12-17
    listed $39,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Just grab your personal belongings and move right in. This property has been renovated. This 3 bedroom home has new carpet, paint, roof, siding and more. Close to shopping, highways and more.

  12. 2013-10-10
    historical
  13. 2013-04-12
    listed $44,900
  14. 2009-06-09
    soldstatus $22,500
  15. 2009-05-14
    historical
  16. 2009-04-28
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,973
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,748
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,438
− Management
−$1,438
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$5,240
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,258
After-tax cash flow
$5,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,115
Household income
$39,825
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
1014.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.52%
Current HPI
211.455
Rent YoY
▲ 9.09%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+261.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $328,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-28 Sold (MLS) $26,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-12-17 Listed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-10-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-04-12 Listed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-06-09 Sold (MLS) $22,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-05-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-04-28 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,748 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…