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406 W Burns
D Composite 44.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$149,999

406 W Burns · Norwich, KS 67118
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,642 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1904 0.60 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.6 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1904

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family onsite-built home
  • Construction: Composition roof; Full daylight foundation
  • Exterior features: One level; Full daylight foundation; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry in a separate room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-135/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (1.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#302 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kingman-Norwich (town): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #129 of 169 in KS (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Kingman Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #540 of 684 statewide, top 82%, 349 students, 59% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #192 of 219 statewide, top 88%, 94 students, 54% FRL); Kingman High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 203 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Kingman County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Kingman County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $150k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,415 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.32%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,732
Equity at exit
$54,005
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$34,706
Equity at exit
$73,982

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67118

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,119/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298
Max offer price $148,015
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $74 -5% $31 +0% $-11 +5% $-54 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-113 -5% $-62 +0% $-11 +5% $39 +10% $90
Rate -1.0pp $64 -0.5pp $27 base $-11 +0.5pp $-50 +1.0pp $-90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    price $149,999
  3. 2026-04-26
    listed $165,000 Active
  4. 1985-10-01
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,119 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,119 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,410
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,119
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$646
After-tax cash flow
$511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingman-Norwich
NCES district ID
2008070
Math proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$48,914
Composite
22.76/100
National rank
#8028
State rank
#129 of 169 in KS

Livability — Norwich

Score
65/100
State rank
#302
US rank
#13319

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norwich, KS
Population (ZIP)
856

Population outlook (Kingman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,491 people
By 2030
7,380 · -1.5%
By 2040
7,090 · -5.4%
By 2050
6,736 · -10.1%
By 2075
6,400 · -14.6%
By 2100
6,125 · -18.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kingman

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.9) · D 19.1% · R 79.0% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -59.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.9 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+51.3 2008: R+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.36%
Current HPI
224.8903
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+500.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $149,999 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $165,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,119 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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