3200 Grant St · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize into a cozy, manageable space. Located in the established Highland subdivision of Wichita Falls, this home blends mid-century character with a prime location near the heart of the city's activity. Seller is open to owner financing the property. Please call or text to discuss details about terms.
Key facts
- Prime location
- 9,017 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($149/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.79%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,650
- List price
- $48,500
- Delta
- -52.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3105 Grant St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+1%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $116 | 90 |
| 2801 Sherman Rd | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (-1%) | 16mo | $25,000 | $26 | 60 |
| 3010 Hollywood Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-4%) | 3mo | $117,500 | $124 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-5,923
- Equity at exit
- $7,232
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $605
- Equity at exit
- $4,193
Cash invested: $13,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76308
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,061 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$254
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $26 | +0% $12 | +5% $-1 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-71 | -5% $-30 | +0% $12 | +5% $54 | +10% $96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $37 | -0.5pp $25 | base $12 | +0.5pp $0 | +1.0pp $-13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,125
- Closing costs
- $1,455
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $925 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2809 Lebanon Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $800 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4110 Faith Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $850 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4110 Faith Rd Apt 11 Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $800 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2204 Tilden St Unit A Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $930 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1100 | $1,188 | $1.08 | 45d | 13 | 1.09mi |
| 1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1710 Fillmore St Apt C Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $625 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,390 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4000 Weeks Park Ln Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,124 | $1.29 | 45d | 12 | 1.31mi |
| 3014 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $825 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,175 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,225 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $48,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $48,500 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $48,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $48,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $48,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $48,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-02-23price $48,500 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
This charming property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize into a cozy, manageable space. Located in the established Highland subdivision of Wichita Falls, this home blends mid-century character with a prime location near the heart of the city's activity. Seller is open to owner financing the property. Please call or text to discuss details about terms.
-
2026-02-03price $52,000 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
This charming property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize into a cozy, manageable space. Located in the established Highland subdivision of Wichita Falls, this home blends mid-century character with a prime location near the heart of the city's activity. Seller is open to owner financing the property. Please call or text to discuss details about terms.
-
2026-01-21$60,000 Active 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
This charming property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize into a cozy, manageable space. Located in the established Highland subdivision of Wichita Falls, this home blends mid-century character with a prime location near the heart of the city's activity. Seller is open to owner financing the property. Please call or text to discuss details about terms.
-
2024-08-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,717
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$5,361
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$1,411
- Taxable loss
- −$290
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,896
- Household income
- $74,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 708.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.47%
- Current HPI
- 177.1989
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.77%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-19.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $48,500 NTREIS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $52,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $60,000 NTREIS
- 2024-08-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,500 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…