707 4th St · Queen City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in Queen City ISD! Located right next to Queen City Middle School, this home offers convenience and strong investment potential. Features include hardwood floors and a convenient location on a corner lot. Ideal as a starter home, rental property, or addition to an investment portfolio. Can be purchased individually or as part of a package deal including 9 additional properties.
Key facts
- Convenient location
- Corner lot
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Built as residential single-family
- Exterior features: Corner lot; City street frontage; No patio or porch; No pool; No other structures
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#735 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Queen City ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #355 of 826 in TX (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($581 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Cass County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.92%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,810
- List price
- $84,000
- Delta
- -28.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $21,866
- Equity at exit
- $41,060
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $62,036
- Equity at exit
- $65,964
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75572
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,197/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $159 | +0% $136 | +5% $112 | +10% $88 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $65 | -5% $100 | +0% $136 | +5% $171 | +10% $207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $178 | -0.5pp $157 | base $136 | +0.5pp $114 | +1.0pp $92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Clearview St Unit B Atlanta, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $900 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $84,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-04-09$84,000 Active 398-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,197 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,537 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$340/yr (+$28/mo · 28.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,197
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $306
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Queen City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4836210
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,663
- Composite
- 35.53/100
- National rank
- #4908
- State rank
- #355 of 826 in TX
Livability — Queen City
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #735
- US rank
- #13663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Queen City, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,942
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,998 people
- By 2030
- 29,583 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 28,512 · -5.0%
- By 2050
- 27,230 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 24,917 · -16.9%
- By 2100
- 21,582 · -28.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 16% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.7) · D 17.0% · R 82.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.4pp · 2024: -65.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.7 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.5 2008: R+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.69%
- Current HPI
- 143.673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $84,000 TBOR
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,197 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…