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1660 E Winter Haven Dr
D+ Composite 49.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$249,900

1660 E Winter Haven Dr · Mohave Valley, AZ 86440
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,729 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1993 0.26 ac lot Est $318k · 21% under $40/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Curb appeal on large corner lot with lots of palm trees. Room for RV or boat on side, Gates w access to back yard of both sides of home. Lrg Back yard w loads of possibilities. Solid surface counter tops. Open floor plan , fireplace in the living room, two full baths. Master bthrm has dual sinks, jetted tub and separate shower. 2 Garage has heating and C?A, third car could be boat deep. Buyer to verify sq ft, flood plain & utilities

Key facts

  • Tons of cabinets
  • Great room
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

CORNER LOTGREAT ROOMFIREPLACEVAULTED CEILINGSTONS OF CABINETSISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (28.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Mohave Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#83 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Colorado River Union High School District (4381) (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #213 of 249 in AZ (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Camp Mohave Elementary School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #471 of 1,109 statewide, top 44%, 375 students, 66% FRL); Mohave Valley Junior High School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 448 students, 55% FRL); River Valley High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #287 of 381 statewide, top 76%, 545 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $250k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,743 (28.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.62%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$318,136
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1660 E Winter Haven Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,729 (0%) 1mo $260,000 $150 99
7713 S Winter Haven Cir 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,772 (+2%) 4mo $325,000 $183 88
7730 S Winter Haven Way 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,808 (+5%) 9mo $319,990 $177 83
1723 E Winter Haven Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-4%) 9mo $309,990 $187 79
1717 E Valley Pkwy 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-4%) 13mo $304,990 $184 76
1763 E Desert Bloom Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,659 (-4%) 14mo $376,000 $227 70
1836 E Spring Way 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-4%) 11mo $299,990 $181 68
1835 E Spring Way 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-4%) 13mo $304,990 $184 67
1827 E Desert Bloom Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-4%) 13mo $304,990 $184 66
1833 E Desert Bloom Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,808 (+5%) 13mo $314,990 $174 65
1765 E Winter Haven Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,945 (+12%) 4mo $334,900 $172 65
1864 E Desert Bloom Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,636 (-5%) 14mo $455,000 $278 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$126,291
Equity at exit
$225,130
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$379,434
Equity at exit
$485,501

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86440

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,797 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,991
Max offer price $222,875
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-12 -5% $-82 +0% $-153 +5% $-224 +10% $-294
Rent -10% $-295 -5% $-224 +0% $-153 +5% $-82 +10% $-11
Rate -1.0pp $-27 -0.5pp $-89 base $-153 +0.5pp $-218 +1.0pp $-284

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1747 E Winter Haven Dr Mohave Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1826 $1,850 $1.01 15d 1 0.19mi
7458 S Mountain View Rd Mohave Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,525 $1.06 23d 1 0.85mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-01-07
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-15
    listed $249,900 Active
  3. 2014-10-01
    soldstatus $159,900 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Great Curb appeal on large corner lot with lots of palm trees. Room for RV or boat on side, Gates w access to back yard of both sides of home. Lrg Back yard w loads of possibilities. Solid surface counter tops. Open floor plan , fireplace in the living room, two full baths. Master bthrm has dual sinks, jetted tub and separate shower. 2 Garage has heating and C?A, third car could be boat deep. Buyer to verify sq ft, flood plain & utilities

  4. 2014-10-01
    soldstatus $159,900
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Great Curb appeal on large corner lot with lots of palm trees. Room for RV or boat on side, Gates w access to back yard of both sides of home. Lrg Back yard w loads of possibilities. Solid surface counter tops. Open floor plan , fireplace in the living room, two full baths. Master bthrm has dual sinks, jetted tub and separate shower. 2 Garage has heating and C?A, third car could be boat deep. Buyer to verify sq ft, flood plain & utilities

  5. 2013-09-09
    listed $159,900 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Great Curb appeal on large corner lot with lots of palm trees. Room for RV or boat on side, Gates w access to back yard of both sides of home. Lrg Back yard w loads of possibilities. Solid surface counter tops. Open floor plan , fireplace in the living room, two full baths. Master bthrm has dual sinks, jetted tub and separate shower. 2 Garage has heating and C?A, third car could be boat deep. Buyer to verify sq ft, flood plain & utilities

  6. 1999-06-22
    soldstatus $130,000
  7. 1997-12-31
    soldstatus $110,000
  8. 1997-04-07
    soldstatus $101,000
  9. 1992-12-03
    soldstatus $130,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$229/yr (+$19/mo · 16.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥117°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,569
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$1,420
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,726
− Management
−$1,726
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$6,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,512
After-tax cash flow
$-324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colorado River Union High School District (4381)
NCES district ID
0400082
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$39,132
Composite
12.72/100
National rank
#9603
State rank
#213 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Mohave Valley

Score
65/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#13041

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mohave Valley, AZ
Population (ZIP)
8,403

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.05%
Current HPI
322.7772
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-07 Pending WARDEX
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $249,900 WARDEX
  • 2014-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
  • 2014-10-01 Sold (MLS) $159,900 WARDEX
  • 2013-09-09 Listed $159,900 WARDEX
  • 1999-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 1997-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
  • 1992-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,420 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…