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1322 N 16th St
B- Composite 66.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

1322 N 16th St · Murphysboro, IL 62966
1 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,504 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1962 9,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath ranch-style home is located in a great area near the high school and offers endless possibilities. With a spacious layout and plenty of square footage, this property is ready for someone with vision to bring it back to life. Ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a project, this home has the potential to be transformed into something special. Being sold as-is. Don't miss your chance to unlock the value this property has to offer.

Key facts

  • 9,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1962

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in unincorporated area; Possession at closing; Earnest money is held; Directions: From Gartside St turn on N 16th St all the way, last home on the right
  • HOA & community: No master association fees (not required)

Exterior

  • Parking: Three total parking spaces; Garage faces side
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (age approximately 61–70 years)
  • Construction: Constructed with other materials
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 120; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level with full bath
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in two bedrooms; Laminate flooring in living room and master bedroom; Other flooring in one bedroom and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 28.9% vs local median 6.3% in Murphysboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,265 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Murphysboro CUSD 186 (town): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #585 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Carruthers Elementary School (math 11% / reading 11%, grade F, #1,460 of 2,056 statewide, top 72%, 406 students, 0% FRL); Murphysboro Middle School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 444 students, 0% FRL); Murphysboro High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 598 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.26%
Cap rate
28.91%
Cash-on-cash
80.79%
DSCR
4.59
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,448
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1006 Steven Ln 0.44mi 2/2.5 (+1) 1,516 (+1%) 12mo $169,900 $112 63
1006 Steven Ln 0.44mi 2/2.5 (+1) 1,516 (+1%) 12mo $169,900 $112 63
1106 N 11th St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,692 (+12%) 10mo $85,800 $51 39
1106 N 11th St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,692 (+12%) 10mo $85,800 $51 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
81.0%
Equity multiple
4.71×
Total profit
$31,067
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
84.4%
Equity multiple
9.76×
Total profit
$73,335
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62966

Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $584 -5% $574 +0% $564 +5% $553 +10% $543
Rent -10% $487 -5% $525 +0% $564 +5% $602 +10% $641
Rate -1.0pp $579 -0.5pp $571 base $564 +0.5pp $556 +1.0pp $548

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $29,900 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $29,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    remarks 496-char remark
  9. 2026-06-13
    listed $29,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,700
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$6,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,604
After-tax cash flow
$5,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Murphysboro CUSD 186
NCES district ID
1727610
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,963
Composite
7.97/100
National rank
#9925
State rank
#585 of 620 in IL

Livability — Murphysboro

Score
54/100
State rank
#1265
US rank
#23786

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Murphysboro, IL
City population
13,995
Population (ZIP)
13,995

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.39%
Current HPI
95.9393
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,543 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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