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421 N Wall St
A- Composite 80.66
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,900

421 N Wall St · Iowa Park, TX 76367
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,781 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1955

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A little love and elbow grease will make this Home again. There is so much potential in this three bedroom, two and a 1/2 bath property. Ample space and storage in the bedrooms, and built-in cabinets in the hallway. The third bedroom features a half bath but could also be converted to a second living area with access to the covered back patio. Great investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • Built-in cabinets
  • Covered back patio
  • Built 1955

Tags

BUILT-IN CABINETSCOVERED BACK PATIOINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Located in the Original Town subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One half bathroom
  • Interior features: Half bathroom (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iowa Park CISD (town): math 57% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #129 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
14.85%
Cash-on-cash
30.57%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$235,092
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
505 N Yosemite 0.09mi 3/3.0 1,910 (+7%) 1mo $177,500 $93 79
910 E Texas Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,043 (+15%) 19mo $269,900 $132 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.6%
Equity multiple
4.57×
Total profit
$84,902
Equity at exit
$76,485
10-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
10.25×
Total profit
$219,870
Equity at exit
$164,942

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76367

Home prices YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,645 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$213 /mo · $2,560/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $878
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
909 Van Horn St Iowa Park, TX 3.0 2.0 1677 $1,645 $0.98 43d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 375-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    listed $84,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,560 · $213/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,560 · $213/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,740
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$2,560
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,579
− Management
−$1,579
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$6,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,529
After-tax cash flow
$5,738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iowa Park CISD
NCES district ID
4824260
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,689
Composite
45.57/100
National rank
#2597
State rank
#129 of 826 in TX

Livability — Iowa Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#6350

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iowa Park, TX
City population
14,013
Population (ZIP)
14,013

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.29%
Current HPI
387.78
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $84,900 WFAOR

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,560 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…