411 Highlands Lake Dr · Lake Placid, FL 33852

$139,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1986 0.28 ac lot Est $209k · 33% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.7/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR'S SPECIAL!!! Needs work, house settling, needs floor, paint, appliances but has great potential. The garage was closed in to a bedroom with a large walk-in closet. Nice cultured marble tub. A/C unit appears to be fairly new. Roof in 20014 per bldg. dept.

Key facts

• Fishing pier
• Piknic area
• Spacious lot

Tags

• SPACIOUS LOT
• PLAYGROUND
• PIKNIC AREA
• FISHING PIER
• LAKE ISKTOPOGA
• RURAL RESIDENTIAL LIFESTYLE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot approximately 0.3625 acres (frontage length 80'); Located in Highlands Park subdivision

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential zoning (R1)
• Construction: Block and concrete construction
• Exterior features: Shingle roof; No patio or porch; Paved road frontage

Interior

• Flooring: Laminate; Simulated wood
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Laminate / simulated wood flooring; Six total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.7% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1488 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $42k; list at $140k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.58%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $208,656
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
439 Highlands Lake Dr	0.21mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,088 (-1%)	2mo	$185,000	$170	77
1412 Errol St	0.60mi	2/1.5	1,110 (+0%)	6mo	$170,000	$153	64
505 Bright Ave	0.48mi	2/1.0	1,003 (-9%)	18mo	$190,000	$189	48
457 Washington Blvd	0.49mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,085 (-2%)	22mo	$189,000	$174	47
222 Highlands Lake Dr	0.74mi	2/1.0	957 (-13%)	2mo	$200,000	$209	42
251 Pershing Ave	0.73mi	2/2.0	1,000 (-9%)	9mo	$200,000	$200	39
401 Nichele Blvd	0.61mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,210 (+10%)	19mo	$295,000	$244	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-12,169
• Equity at exit: $20,860

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.86×
• Total profit: $-5,472
• Equity at exit: $12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33852

• Rents YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 1488
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,491 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax from tax record: −$171 /mo · $2,057/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$313
• Net cashflow: $215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,219

Max offer price $139,900

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,975
• Closing costs: $4,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-14
   statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-10
   remarks 256-char remark
3. 2026-06-10
   listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,057 · $171/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,057 · $171/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,897
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,837
• − Property taxes: −$2,057
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,432
• − Management: −$1,432
• − Depreciation: −$4,070
• Taxable income: $370
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$89
• After-tax cash flow: $2,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Highlands
• NCES district ID: 1200840
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,276
• Composite: 36.42/100
• National rank: #4672
• State rank: #54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Placid

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #525
• US rank: #9813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Highlands County · 98,898 people
• City population: 22,600
• Metro: Sebring-Avon Park, FL
• Population (ZIP): 22,600
• Household income: $54,284
• Rent vs Own: 18.6% rent · 81.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 439.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 99,674 people
• By 2030: 99,615 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 99,342 · -0.3%
• By 2050: 98,242 · -1.4%
• By 2075: 93,291 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -203.31%
• Current HPI: 224.8693
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.82%
• Metro: Sebring-Avon Park, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+311.5% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $139,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2018-07-24 Sold (MLS) $42,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2018-06-29 Listed $60,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2001-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
• 1992-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,100 Public Records
• 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,057 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.