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1302 W 1st St Duplex
C- Composite 53.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

1302 W 1st St · Duluth, MN 55806
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,884 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1907 4,399 sqft lot $127/sqft · 48% above area Est $163k · 48% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This is an exciting opportunity to invest in a charming duplex on Goat Hill! This property features two separate units, one on each floor, each offering two bedrooms and one full bathroom. Large windows fill each unit with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The property also includes three parking spaces for tenant convenience. The lower unit is currently leased until December 1, 2024, and the upper unit is Jan. 1 2025, providing you with immediate rental income and a seamless start to your landlord journey. The upper unit has potential for $1,500 a month rent and the lower unit $1,200. $2,700 a month potential! Whether you're a seasoned investor or just beginning in real estate, this duplex offers a promising venture. Call today for your private showing!

Key facts

  • 4,399 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1907

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fractional ownership: No; Living area reported as 1,886 square feet
  • Financial info: Property type: Residential income (duplex); Total units: 2
  • HOA & community: Rental license: Standard (rental license active)

Exterior

  • Parking: Unit parking: one unit lists 1 parking space, the other lists 2 parking spaces; No carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Duplex (up and down); Two levels; Above-grade finished area 1,886 square feet; Main level finished area 942 square feet; Owner not occupied
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Foundation area 942 (foundation dimensions 40 x 24)
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.101 acres (40 x 120)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit appliances include a range and refrigerator; Kitchen window (in at least one unit)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Each unit has 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors (in at least one unit)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Egress windows in basement; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas fuel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,772/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 506% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.99%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,541
List price
$240,000
Delta
47.66%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1302 W 1st St 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,884 (0%) 21mo $220,000 $117 83
1727 W 2nd St 0.41mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,872 (-1%) 23mo $255,000 $136 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-3,223
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$43,189
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55806

Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,772 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$272 /mo · $3,260/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$582
Net cashflow
$560

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,064
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $695 -5% $628 +0% $560 +5% $492 +10% $424
Rent -10% $341 -5% $450 +0% $560 +5% $669 +10% $779
Rate -1.0pp $680 -0.5pp $621 base $560 +0.5pp $497 +1.0pp $434

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,772

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 N 5th Ave W Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1209 $3,299 $2.73 22d 7 0.74mi
100 N 5th Ave W Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1207 $3,999 $3.31 14d 1 0.74mi
13 E 8th St Duluth, MN 4.0 1.5 1388 $2,000 $1.44 44d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    historical Contingent - Inspection 471-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 471-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    listed $240,000 Active 471-char remark
  4. 2026-05-02
    listed $240,000 Active 497-char remark
  5. 2024-10-07
    soldstatus $220,000
  6. 2024-09-23
    soldstatus $220,000
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    This is an exciting opportunity to invest in a charming duplex on Goat Hill! This property features two separate units, one on each floor, each offering two bedrooms and one full bathroom. Large windows fill each unit with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The property also includes three parking spaces for tenant convenience. The lower unit is currently leased until December 1, 2024, and the upper unit is Jan. 1 2025, providing you with immediate rental income and a seamless start to your landlord journey. The upper unit has potential for $1,500 a month rent and the lower unit $1,200. $2,700 a month potential! Whether you're a seasoned investor or just beginning in real estate, this duplex offers a promising venture. Call today for your private showing!

  7. 2024-06-10
    listed $229,900
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    This is an exciting opportunity to invest in a charming duplex on Goat Hill! This property features two separate units, one on each floor, each offering two bedrooms and one full bathroom. Large windows fill each unit with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The property also includes three parking spaces for tenant convenience. The lower unit is currently leased until December 1, 2024, and the upper unit is Jan. 1 2025, providing you with immediate rental income and a seamless start to your landlord journey. The upper unit has potential for $1,500 a month rent and the lower unit $1,200. $2,700 a month potential! Whether you're a seasoned investor or just beginning in real estate, this duplex offers a promising venture. Call today for your private showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,260 · $272/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,260 · $272/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,264
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$3,260
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,661
− Management
−$2,661
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$3,056
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$733
After-tax cash flow
$5,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
9,356
Household income
$42,833
Rent vs Own
57.9% rent · 42.1% own
Severe rent burden
506.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.85%
Current HPI
195.9805
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-09 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $240,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2024-09-23 Sold (MLS) $220,000 LSAR
  • 2024-06-10 Listed $229,900 LSAR

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,260 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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