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4 Hurst Dr
B- Composite 68.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

4 Hurst Dr · Laurel, MS 39440
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 29 Days on market
Built 2001 0.32 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable, updated, and move-in ready! This remodeled 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offers 1,568 sq ft of comfortable living space on a spacious 0.32 acre corner lot in the desirable Jones County School District. Inside, you'll find a large living room, oversized primary suite, and functional layout perfect for everyday living. Major updates include a newer roof, AC unit, and water heater for added peace of mind. Home also features gas hookups for the stove, water heater, and fireplace. Located in a USDA eligible area offering potential zero down financing for qualified buyers. Don't miss this affordable opportunity! Call to schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 29 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Manufactured house; One level; Move-in ready; Entry level: One; Orientation information not specified
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Built area approximately 1,568
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Natural gas in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on one level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Gas cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double vanity; Pantry; Soaking tub; Walk-in closets; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#92 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, commute F.
  • Jones County School District (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #40 of 130 in MS (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jones County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,365 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.99%
Cash-on-cash
23.90%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$21,031
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$68,065
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39440

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,619 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $652/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $850
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $670 -5% $639 +0% $608 +5% $577 +10% $546
Rent -10% $480 -5% $544 +0% $608 +5% $672 +10% $736
Rate -1.0pp $663 -0.5pp $636 base $608 +0.5pp $580 +1.0pp $551

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $109,000 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-05-06
    listed $119,900 Active 676-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$652 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$861 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$209/yr (+$17/mo · 32.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,433
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$652
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,555
− Management
−$1,555
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$5,849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,404
After-tax cash flow
$5,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jones County School District
NCES district ID
2802280
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,051
Composite
33.24/100
National rank
#5520
State rank
#40 of 130 in MS

Livability — Laurel

Score
66/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#11413

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,111
Population (ZIP)
20,111

Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,800 people
By 2030
68,773 · +-0.0%
By 2040
68,087 · -1.0%
By 2050
66,241 · -3.7%
By 2075
58,600 · -14.8%
By 2100
45,744 · -33.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Jones

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 26.2% · R 73.0%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.63%
Current HPI
126.2541
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $109,000 MLSU
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $119,900 MLSU

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2021): $652 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…