114 Rustic · Shippensburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 114 Rustic Dr Shippensburg. This very large and charming manufactured home features 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. The master has his and hers walk-in closets and a master bath with a built-in makeup desk. Two bedrooms are a Jack-N-Jill set up with a shared full bath. The fourth bedroom and bath are nicely set in the rear of the home along with the large laundry area. Second living room area and open concept kitchen with a custom-built island. This is a rare find! Set up a showing today.
Key facts
- Dual walk-in closets
- Custom island
- Private bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.5% in Shippensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#741 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Shippensburg Area SD (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #335 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Shippensburg Area Shs (math 71% / reading 30%, grade D+, #131 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 1,138 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 30% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.51%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $22,254
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $71,036
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17257
- Home prices YoY
- -17.3%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,742 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,495/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $629
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $691 | -5% $660 | +0% $629 | +5% $598 | +10% $567 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $491 | -5% $560 | +0% $629 | +5% $698 | +10% $767 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $684 | -0.5pp $657 | base $629 | +0.5pp $600 | +1.0pp $571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 353 Farmington Dr Shippensburg, PA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 735 E King St Shippensburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 122 Cardinal Dr Shippensburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2032 | $1,950 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-25price $110,000
-
2026-03-16status Active
-
2026-03-09historical
-
2026-03-06$115,000 Active
-
2022-08-20historical 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Welcome to 114 Rustic Dr Shippensburg. This very large and charming manufactured home features 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. The master has his and hers walk-in closets and a master bath with a built-in makeup desk. Two bedrooms are a Jack-N-Jill set up with a shared full bath. The fourth bedroom and bath are nicely set in the rear of the home along with the large laundry area. Second living room area and open concept kitchen with a custom-built island. This is a rare find! Set up a showing today.
-
2022-08-19soldstatus $80,000 Closed 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Welcome to 114 Rustic Dr Shippensburg. This very large and charming manufactured home features 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. The master has his and hers walk-in closets and a master bath with a built-in makeup desk. Two bedrooms are a Jack-N-Jill set up with a shared full bath. The fourth bedroom and bath are nicely set in the rear of the home along with the large laundry area. Second living room area and open concept kitchen with a custom-built island. This is a rare find! Set up a showing today.
-
2022-07-02status Pending 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Welcome to 114 Rustic Dr Shippensburg. This very large and charming manufactured home features 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. The master has his and hers walk-in closets and a master bath with a built-in makeup desk. Two bedrooms are a Jack-N-Jill set up with a shared full bath. The fourth bedroom and bath are nicely set in the rear of the home along with the large laundry area. Second living room area and open concept kitchen with a custom-built island. This is a rare find! Set up a showing today.
-
2022-06-23$82,500 Active 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Welcome to 114 Rustic Dr Shippensburg. This very large and charming manufactured home features 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths. The master has his and hers walk-in closets and a master bath with a built-in makeup desk. Two bedrooms are a Jack-N-Jill set up with a shared full bath. The fourth bedroom and bath are nicely set in the rear of the home along with the large laundry area. Second living room area and open concept kitchen with a custom-built island. This is a rare find! Set up a showing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,495
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,672
- − Management
- −$1,672
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $6,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,477
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shippensburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,585
- Composite
- 35.42/100
- National rank
- #4938
- State rank
- #335 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shippensburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #741
- US rank
- #7436
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- City population
- 29,204
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,204
- Household income
- $71,181
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 855.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.12%
- Current HPI
- 297.1586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+33.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-23 Listed $82,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,495 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…