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4315 Mikado Ave
C+ Composite 64.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

4315 Mikado Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 953 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1940 0.34 ac lot $84/sqft · 106% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Buy for profit. A rare opportunity at this price point. If you are looking to expand your rental portfolio. Single living, two bedrooms- one bath, outbuilding with carport.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $80k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.31%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,853
List price
$79,900
Delta
105.64%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1317 Peavy Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 936 (-2%) 2mo $52,000 $56 69
4283 Worsham Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (+5%) 8mo $29,000 $29 67
4161 Worsham Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 925 (-3%) 13mo $18,900 $20 63
4147 Marion Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-2%) 12mo $60,463 $65 60
1341 Glendale Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-4%) 2mo $34,500 $38 58
562 Richmond St 0.73mi 2/1.0 972 (+2%) 6mo $15,000 $15 57
958 Sylvian Dr 0.64mi 2/1.0 930 (-2%) 13mo $49,000 $53 55
1111 Hartley St 0.29mi 2/1.0 812 (-15%) 9mo $21,000 $26 54
1347 Schley St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,063 (+12%) 1mo $45,500 $43 49
3966 Guyton St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 942 (-1%) 14mo $115,000 $122 48
1071 Sylvian Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,001 (+5%) 9mo $53,000 $53 47
3939 Mathis St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,038 (+9%) 14mo $61,500 $59 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$7,265
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$38,433
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $489/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $624
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
906 Thomas St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 44d 1 0.15mi
955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 44d 1 0.22mi
4196 Mikado Ave Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 897 $950 $1.06 44d 1 0.23mi
4196 Mikado Ave Unit B Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 890 $900 $1.01 44d 1 0.23mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,295 $1.50 21d 1 0.50mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 44d 1 0.50mi
1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 980 $875 $0.89 13d 1 0.55mi
1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 13d 1 0.70mi
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 44d 1 0.79mi
534 Lynmore Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 864 $925 $1.07 44d 1 0.94mi
4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 21d 1 1.04mi
3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $895 $0.85 44d 1 1.12mi
3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,150 $1.13 44d 1 1.17mi
837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 966 $750 $0.78 44d 1 1.22mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 1.22mi
3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 21d 1 1.22mi
3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 13d 1 1.29mi
3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 44d 1 1.32mi
3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 897 $745 $0.83 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $79,900 Active 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Buy for profit. A rare opportunity at this price point. If you are looking to expand your rental portfolio. Single living, two bedrooms- one bath, outbuilding with carport.

  18. 2026-04-16
    listed $79,900 New 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Buy for profit. A rare opportunity at this price point. If you are looking to expand your rental portfolio. Single living, two bedrooms- one bath, outbuilding with carport.

  19. 2021-11-09
    soldstatus $35,000
  20. 2021-11-05
    soldstatus $35,000 Sold
  21. 2021-10-11
    status Under Contract
  22. 2021-06-11
    price $46,500
  23. 2021-05-05
    listed $59,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$489 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$735 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$246/yr (+$20/mo · 50.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,826
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$489
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$946
− Management
−$946
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,245
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$539
After-tax cash flow
$2,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $79,900 MGMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-10-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-06-11 Price Changed $46,500 GAMLS
  • 2021-05-05 Listed $59,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $489 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…