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8727 Terrell Ct
C+ Composite 63.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

8727 Terrell Ct · Mobile, AL 36695
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2005 4,704 sqft lot Est $219k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.

Key facts

  • Stained cabinetry
  • Open floor plan
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS KITCHENSTAINED CABINETRYCOVERED BACK PORCHPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHSTORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 551 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.80%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,988
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8702 Three Dean Way 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,378 (-1%) 7mo $239,000 $173 92
911 Parliament Ct 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,361 (-2%) 10mo $208,000 $153 82
8710 Londonderry Ct 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,319 (-5%) 4mo $204,900 $155 82
8535 Gatwick Ct 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,332 (-4%) 8mo $237,000 $178 75
8542 Three Dean Way 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,424 (+3%) 11mo $245,000 $172 75
960 Hamilton Bridges Dr W 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,295 (-7%) 12mo $205,000 $158 74
8772 Fangorn Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,385 (-0%) 16mo $214,000 $155 74
1010 E Hamilton Bridges Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,246 (-10%) 8mo $215,000 $173 69
919 Parliament Ct 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,265 (-9%) 11mo $200,000 $158 69
8671 Hamilton Bridges Dr S 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,275 (-8%) 13mo $199,950 $157 65
8722 Fangorn Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,503 (+8%) 17mo $199,000 $132 60
930 Abilene Dr E 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,385 (-0%) 15mo $199,900 $144 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-10,489
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-484
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36695

Home prices YoY
-30.9%
Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
551
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,297
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $445 -5% $397 +0% $349 +5% $301 +10% $253
Rent -10% $212 -5% $280 +0% $349 +5% $418 +10% $486
Rate -1.0pp $434 -0.5pp $392 base $349 +0.5pp $305 +1.0pp $260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
791 Copperfield Dr E Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,495 $1.19 44d 1 0.95mi
1345 Baker Ct Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,500 $1.20 44d 1 0.95mi
725 Copperfield Dr E Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,500 $1.03 14d 1 0.96mi
700 Bonneville Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,600 $1.34 14d 1 1.04mi
9490 Cinder Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 3.0 1783 $1,800 $1.01 14d 1 1.10mi
1718 Calgary Dr W Mobile, AL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.25mi
9650 Trailwood Dr S Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,275 $1.14 14d 1 1.35mi
945 Schillinger Rd S Mobile, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1809 $2,300 $1.27 44d 1 1.47mi
9760 Royal Woods Dr N Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1127 $1,395 $1.24 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.

  2. 2026-04-07
    status Pending 755-char remark
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.

  3. 2026-04-02
    listed $170,000 Active 755-char remark
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.

  4. 2026-04-02
    listed $170,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$750 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$750 · $62/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,866
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,669
− Management
−$1,669
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$1,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$350
After-tax cash flow
$3,836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mobile County · 246,577 people
City population
205,729
Metro
Mobile, AL
Population (ZIP)
52,690
Household income
$76,040
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
1619.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 23% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.28%
Current HPI
193.1651
Rent YoY
▼ -0.41%
Metro
Mobile, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Pending BCAR
  • 2026-04-07 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $170,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $170,000 BCAR

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $750 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…