8727 Terrell Ct · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.
Key facts
- Stained cabinetry
- Open floor plan
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 551 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.80%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,988
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8702 Three Dean Way | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,378 (-1%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $173 | 92 |
| 911 Parliament Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (-2%) | 10mo | $208,000 | $153 | 82 |
| 8710 Londonderry Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,319 (-5%) | 4mo | $204,900 | $155 | 82 |
| 8535 Gatwick Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (-4%) | 8mo | $237,000 | $178 | 75 |
| 8542 Three Dean Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+3%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $172 | 75 |
| 960 Hamilton Bridges Dr W | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-7%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 8772 Fangorn Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-0%) | 16mo | $214,000 | $155 | 74 |
| 1010 E Hamilton Bridges Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (-10%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $173 | 69 |
| 919 Parliament Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-9%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 8671 Hamilton Bridges Dr S | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (-8%) | 13mo | $199,950 | $157 | 65 |
| 8722 Fangorn Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,503 (+8%) | 17mo | $199,000 | $132 | 60 |
| 930 Abilene Dr E | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-0%) | 15mo | $199,900 | $144 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-10,489
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-484
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36695
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 551
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $397 | +0% $349 | +5% $301 | +10% $253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $280 | +0% $349 | +5% $418 | +10% $486 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $434 | -0.5pp $392 | base $349 | +0.5pp $305 | +1.0pp $260 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791 Copperfield Dr E Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,495 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1345 Baker Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 725 Copperfield Dr E Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 700 Bonneville Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9490 Cinder Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1783 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1718 Calgary Dr W Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9650 Trailwood Dr S Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,275 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 945 Schillinger Rd S Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1809 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9760 Royal Woods Dr N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.
-
2026-04-07status Pending 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.
-
2026-04-02$170,000 Active 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.
-
2026-04-02$170,000 Active
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Fixer-upper opportunity in Hamilton Bridges! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an open floor plan with great potential for customization. The spacious kitchen features stained cabinetry, a pantry, and stainless steel appliances—including refrigerator, dishwasher, range, and microwave—and flows easily into the main living area, making it ideal for future entertaining. Just off the kitchen and breakfast room, enjoy a covered back porch overlooking the backyard. The primary suite includes a private ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a second full hall bath. A storage building provides added space for tools or equipment. Property is being sold as-is, subject to probate court approval, and is available to cash buyers only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $750 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $750 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,866
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $1,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$350
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,836/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,690
- Household income
- $76,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1619.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 23% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.28%
- Current HPI
- 193.1651
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.41%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-04-07 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-02 Listed $170,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-02 Listed $170,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $750 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…