Duplex
421 & 423 Bessemer Ave · Butler, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
421 & 423 Bessemer Ave. is a fully occupied duplex located in Lyndora. The property is 100% occupied and consistently leased, generating $3990.00 in quarterly rental income, or $15,960.00 annually. With a strong and reliable income stream, the duplex produces an approximate Net Operating Income (NOI) of $14,013.12 per year. Its central location and stable tenancy make this a solid investment opportunity with dependable cash flow.
Key facts
- 4,007 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 171 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $275/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.8% in Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#705 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.56%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,844
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -13.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $45,153
- Equity at exit
- $54,163
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $119,656
- Equity at exit
- $78,704
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16045
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,870 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,163/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $550
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $626 | -5% $588 | +0% $550 | +5% $512 | +10% $473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $402 | -5% $476 | +0% $550 | +5% $624 | +10% $697 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $618 | -0.5pp $584 | base $550 | +0.5pp $515 | +1.0pp $479 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,870 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $935 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $935 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,870 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-03-18price $135,000 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
421 & 423 Bessemer Ave. is a fully occupied duplex located in Lyndora. The property is 100% occupied and consistently leased, generating $3990.00 in quarterly rental income, or $15,960.00 annually. With a strong and reliable income stream, the duplex produces an approximate Net Operating Income (NOI) of $14,013.12 per year. Its central location and stable tenancy make this a solid investment opportunity with dependable cash flow.
-
2025-12-28$150,000 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
421 & 423 Bessemer Ave. is a fully occupied duplex located in Lyndora. The property is 100% occupied and consistently leased, generating $3990.00 in quarterly rental income, or $15,960.00 annually. With a strong and reliable income stream, the duplex produces an approximate Net Operating Income (NOI) of $14,013.12 per year. Its central location and stable tenancy make this a solid investment opportunity with dependable cash flow.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 41.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,163
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,795
- − Management
- −$1,795
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $4,725
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,134
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butler Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204590
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 42.65/100
- National rank
- #3180
- State rank
- #181 of 539 in PA
Livability — Butler
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #705
- US rank
- #6951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homeacre-Lyndora, PA
- City population
- 39,234
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,109
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Black 4% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 10% Italian 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.12%
- Current HPI
- 108.3087
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $135,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,163 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…