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6812 Kiska Ave
B Composite 74.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

6812 Kiska Ave · Edgewater, AL 35224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2010 10,454 sqft lot Est $132k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOOK!! NEW PRICE !!! Mfd Home, 28 x 56, Eligible for $0 DOWN!!!! with 2 large WORKSHOPS, beautiful fireplace, garden tub, NEW HVAC 2025, NEW ROOF 2022, low maintenance siding, +/- . 25 Acres, fenced in yard, 24 x 24 workshop with garage door, 8 x 16 storage building. Great for Small BUSINESS!!

Key facts

  • Beautiful fireplace
  • New hvac
  • Large workshops

Tags

LARGE WORKSHOPSBEAUTIFUL FIREPLACEGARDEN TUBNEW HVACNEW ROOFLOW MAINTENANCE SIDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $452 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#108 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing D+, commute D, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Minor Community School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 409 students, 84% FRL); Minor Middle School (math 0% / reading 18%, grade F, #235 of 257 statewide, top 93%, 728 students, 88% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 49% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $85k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.68%
Cash-on-cash
22.81%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,712
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1024 Xavier St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,666 (+6%) 12mo $140,000 $84 57
1217 Xavier St 0.43mi 3/3.0 1,507 (-4%) 12mo $220,000 $146 55
1113 Xavier St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,460 (-7%) 14mo $195,000 $134 54
1221 Xavier St 0.43mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,693 (+8%) 9mo $227,000 $134 46
1008 Utica Pl 0.54mi 3/3.0 1,607 (+2%) 20mo $50,000 $31 46
785 Mcdonald Chapel Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,724 (+10%) 11mo $35,000 $20 40
5712 Mexico Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,372 (-12%) 14mo $95,000 $69 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$15,000
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$50,009
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35224

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,202 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $188/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$452

Break-even live

Break-even rent $629
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $500 -5% $476 +0% $452 +5% $428 +10% $404
Rent -10% $357 -5% $405 +0% $452 +5% $500 +10% $547
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $474 base $452 +0.5pp $430 +1.0pp $408

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5804 Norway Ave Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1564 $1,200 $0.77 25d 1 0.56mi
7328 Denmark Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1736 $1,250 $0.72 45d 1 0.87mi
5320 Java Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1950 $1,100 $0.56 45d 1 0.93mi
960 Minor Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1299 $1,295 $1.00 25d 1 1.18mi
1050 McDonald Chapel Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,250 $0.86 25d 1 1.21mi
4800 Norway Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,200 $1.11 3d 1 1.42mi
5223 Loop Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,100 $0.79 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    LOOK!! NEW PRICE !!! Mfd Home, 28 x 56, Eligible for $0 DOWN!!!! with 2 large WORKSHOPS, beautiful fireplace, garden tub, NEW HVAC 2025, NEW ROOF 2022, low maintenance siding, +/- . 25 Acres, fenced in yard, 24 x 24 workshop with garage door, 8 x 16 storage building. Great for Small BUSINESS!!

  2. 2026-04-11
    price $85,000 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    LOOK!! NEW PRICE !!! Mfd Home, 28 x 56, Eligible for $0 DOWN!!!! with 2 large WORKSHOPS, beautiful fireplace, garden tub, NEW HVAC 2025, NEW ROOF 2022, low maintenance siding, +/- . 25 Acres, fenced in yard, 24 x 24 workshop with garage door, 8 x 16 storage building. Great for Small BUSINESS!!

  3. 2026-04-01
    price $88,000 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    LOOK!! NEW PRICE !!! Mfd Home, 28 x 56, Eligible for $0 DOWN!!!! with 2 large WORKSHOPS, beautiful fireplace, garden tub, NEW HVAC 2025, NEW ROOF 2022, low maintenance siding, +/- . 25 Acres, fenced in yard, 24 x 24 workshop with garage door, 8 x 16 storage building. Great for Small BUSINESS!!

  4. 2026-03-25
    listed $94,000 Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    LOOK!! NEW PRICE !!! Mfd Home, 28 x 56, Eligible for $0 DOWN!!!! with 2 large WORKSHOPS, beautiful fireplace, garden tub, NEW HVAC 2025, NEW ROOF 2022, low maintenance siding, +/- . 25 Acres, fenced in yard, 24 x 24 workshop with garage door, 8 x 16 storage building. Great for Small BUSINESS!!

  5. 2013-06-14
    soldstatus $39,900
  6. 2013-06-13
    soldstatus $39,900 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    28 x 56 Manufacture Home. 8 x 16 Storage Building. Beautiful Fireplace. Large kitchen that has a island with bar. Great open floor plan. Spacious bedrooms, walk - in closets. 24 x 24 Workshop.

  7. 2012-12-10
    listed $46,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    28 x 56 Manufacture Home. 8 x 16 Storage Building. Beautiful Fireplace. Large kitchen that has a island with bar. Great open floor plan. Spacious bedrooms, walk - in closets. 24 x 24 Workshop.

  8. 1978-12-21
    soldstatus $24,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$188 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$349 · $29/mo
Expected delta
+$160/yr (+$13/mo · 84.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,419
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$188
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,154
− Management
−$1,154
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$4,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,023
After-tax cash flow
$4,405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Edgewater

Score
66/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#11927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A+ Housing D+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewater, AL
Population (ZIP)
5,409

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.47%
Current HPI
126.3423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $85,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $88,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $94,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2013-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
  • 2013-06-13 Sold (MLS) $39,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2012-12-10 Listed $46,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1978-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $188 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…