620 16th Ave · East Moline, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This four-bedroom home boasting with potential. The home's main level offers ample size kitchen, a full-bathroom, and informal dining. Upstairs you will find 4-bedrooms conveniently located near the home's second full bathroom. The home features recently painted walls, a 2-car detached garage, and a long driveway that offers additional off-street parking. Near downtown East Moline, the location provides nearby dining and entertainment. Contact your trusted Agent to schedule a tour today! Home is being sold as-is, where-is. Buyer/Buyer's Agent to verify all measurements and other aspects of the property details.
Key facts
- Ample size kitchen
- Long driveway
- Informal dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story
- Construction: Built over 100 years ago; Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Unfinished basement (856 sq. ft.)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 119 x 40; Less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (12 x 15); Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the second floor (21 x 10); Second bedroom on the second floor (13 x 13); Third bedroom on the second floor (14 x 10); Fourth bedroom on the second floor (9 x 9)
- Flooring: Carpet in dining room, family room and living room; Laminate in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.5% in East Moline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#870 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools F.
- United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.89%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $16,974
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $55,152
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61244
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,526 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,671/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $488
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 15th Ave East Moline, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $87,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $87,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 618-char remark
-
2026-06-07$87,500 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,671 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,671 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$2,671
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable income
- $4,827
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,159
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- United Twp Hsd 30
- NCES district ID
- 1739870
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,647
- Composite
- 11.91/100
- National rank
- #9670
- State rank
- #536 of 620 in IL
Livability — East Moline
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #870
- US rank
- #16964
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Moline, IL
- County
- Rock Island County · 103,822 people
- City population
- 23,308
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,308
- Household income
- $63,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 746.0
Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,982 people
- By 2030
- 137,705 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 130,512 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 123,841 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 109,851 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 90,922 · -35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- English 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, United Kingdom, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.05%
- Current HPI
- 154.4012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+82.3% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $87,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-19 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-19 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-19 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-18 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-30 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-17 Sold (MLS) $44,160 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-17 Sold (MLS) $44,160 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-08 Listed $48,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-08 Listed $48,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,671 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…