2930 S Yellowstone Hwy #12 · Idaho Falls, ID
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fully renovated single-wide manufactured home located in a peaceful community near the Snake River! This move-in-ready home has been completely updated from top to bottom, featuring all-new plumbing and electrical for peace of mind. Whether you're looking for a low-maintenance primary residence or a smart investment opportunity, this beautifully updated home is a must-see!
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Move-in-ready
- All-new electrical
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $495 monthly fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Single-story / One level
- Exterior features: Fenced
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Includes a refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in ID, #428 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Idaho Falls District (urban): math 36% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #54 of 92 in ID (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,253 units permitted in Bonneville County in 2024 (1,051 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bonneville County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.59%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $15,211
- Equity at exit
- $8,872
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $44,065
- Equity at exit
- $5,144
Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83402
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 275
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,023 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$312
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $892/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,875
- Closing costs
- $1,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1550 Teton View Ln Idaho Falls, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $870 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 433 Maple St #4 Idaho Falls, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1970 Diane Ct Idaho Falls, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $700 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 615 Riverwalk Dr Idaho Falls, ID | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $1,595 | $1.61 | 13d | 10 | 1.43mi |
| 125 N Water Ave Unit 13 Idaho Falls, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $725 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $59,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $62,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$62,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,275
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,333
- − Property taxes
- −$892
- − Insurance
- −$298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$982
- − Management
- −$982
- − Depreciation
- −$1,731
- Taxable income
- $4,057
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$974
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,789/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This fully renovated single-wide manufactured home is move-in ready and in excellent condition. It offers a great opportunity for a low-maintenance primary residence or a smart investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — A fresh coat of paint can enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting to potential buyers.
- Resale Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — A fresh coat of paint can enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Idaho Falls District
- NCES district ID
- 1601530
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,119
- Composite
- 36.75/100
- National rank
- #4581
- State rank
- #54 of 92 in ID
Livability — Idaho Falls
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Idaho Falls, ID
- County
- Bonneville County · 125,162 people
- City population
- 105,466
- Metro
- Idaho Falls, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,994
- Household income
- $74,517
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 636.0
Population outlook (Bonneville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,170 people
- By 2030
- 124,993 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 134,091 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 142,122 · +18.3%
- By 2075
- 157,767 · +31.3%
- By 2100
- 160,316 · +33.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bonneville
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.4) · D 25.6% · R 71.0% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.0pp · 2024: -45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.4 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+51.8 2008: R+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.66%
- Current HPI
- 355.2953
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Metro
- Idaho Falls, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $62,000 SRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…