3222 Holt Rd · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a single story but also want an open floor plan? This home has a large family room open to the kitchen and also has a smaller living room and den with built in shelving and a desk.
Key facts
- 0.63 acre lot
- Built 1958
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bayvale Elementary School (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,092 of 1,228 statewide, top 91%, 377 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 303 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $130k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.45%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3111 Evergreen Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (-3%) | 15mo | $157,900 | $119 | 62 |
| 2129 Sibley Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,420 (+4%) | 19mo | $165,000 | $116 | 60 |
| 3170 River Oak Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+7%) | 18mo | $115,000 | $79 | 59 |
| 3170 River Oak Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+7%) | 18mo | $115,000 | $79 | 59 |
| 2016 Westfield Dr Unit R | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (+5%) | 4mo | $202,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 3126 Scenic Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,196 (-12%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $121 | 57 |
| 1714 Sandalwood Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-4%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $134 | 50 |
| 1728 Sandalwood Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (+12%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $72 | 47 |
| 1721 Sandalwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,310 (-4%) | 19mo | $165,000 | $126 | 47 |
| 1712 Fairwood Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+5%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $140 | 46 |
| 3136 Summerchase Pl | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+15%) | 7mo | $179,000 | $115 | 42 |
| 1708 Sandalwood Drive Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (+5%) | 18mo | $207,500 | $146 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,362
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-381
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30909
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 303
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,079/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $293 | +0% $256 | +5% $219 | +10% $183 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $140 | -5% $198 | +0% $256 | +5% $315 | +10% $373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $289 | base $256 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 Sibley Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,300 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1924 N Leg Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,050 | $1.12 | 24d | 3 | 0.36mi |
| 1813 Sibley Rd Unit A Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,199 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1811 Sibley Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $1,229 | $1.50 | 14d | 12 | 0.38mi |
| 1910 Valley Spring Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,495 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3247 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3122 Damascus Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,650 | $1.80 | 14d | 16 | 0.62mi |
| 3208 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3220 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3220 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1700 Valley Park Ct Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 44d | 7 | 0.66mi |
| 1700 Valley Park Ct Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1710 Sandalwood Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,750 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1709 Forest Creek Ct Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3211 Wrightsboro Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $950 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1500 Champions Pines Ln Augusta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,140 | $1.38 | 24d | 14 | 0.78mi |
| 1508 Wylds Ct Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $854 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3404 Covington Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2595 Kelly St Unit 1E Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2595 Kelly St Unit A1 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2461 Damascus Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 255 Reservation Way Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,440 | $1.23 | 21d | 15 | 1.37mi |
| 2144 Kelly St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,425 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2140 Kelly St Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3309 Tate Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $1,500 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3234 W Wimbledon Dr Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,125 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3143 Switzer Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1793 | $3,500 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 454 Forest Hills Dr Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-13historical
-
2026-04-13historical
-
2026-04-03$130,000 Active
-
2026-04-03$130,000
-
2016-07-13soldstatus $42,500 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Looking for a single story but also want an open floor plan? This home has a large family room open to the kitchen and also has a smaller living room and den with built in shelving and a desk.
-
2016-07-13soldstatus $42,500
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Looking for a single story but also want an open floor plan? This home has a large family room open to the kitchen and also has a smaller living room and den with built in shelving and a desk.
-
2016-04-25$42,500 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Looking for a single story but also want an open floor plan? This home has a large family room open to the kitchen and also has a smaller living room and den with built in shelving and a desk.
-
2016-04-25$42,500
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Looking for a single story but also want an open floor plan? This home has a large family room open to the kitchen and also has a smaller living room and den with built in shelving and a desk.
-
2007-03-08soldstatus $79,900
-
2007-02-27soldstatus $79,900
-
2007-02-27soldstatus $79,900
-
2007-01-11$82,900
-
2007-01-11$82,900
-
2006-11-06soldstatus $78,000
-
2005-05-20soldstatus $78,000
-
1999-06-09soldstatus $28,000
-
1999-06-09soldstatus $28,000
-
1999-06-09soldstatus $28,000
-
1999-06-04$31,000
-
1999-06-04$31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,079 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,079 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,079
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,078
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$259
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,501
- Household income
- $71,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2113.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.4587
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.48%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+319.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $130,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $130,000 Hive MLS
- 2016-07-13 Sold (MLS) $42,500 Hive MLS
- 2016-07-13 Sold (MLS) $42,500 Hive MLS
- 2016-04-25 Listed $42,500 Hive MLS
- 2016-04-25 Listed $42,500 Hive MLS
- 2007-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2007-02-27 Sold (MLS) $79,900 Hive MLS
- 2007-02-27 Sold (MLS) $79,900 Hive MLS
- 2007-01-11 Listed $82,900 Hive MLS
- 2007-01-11 Listed $82,900 Hive MLS
- 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-09 Sold (MLS) $28,000 Hive MLS
- 1999-06-09 Sold (MLS) $28,000 Hive MLS
- 1999-06-04 Listed $31,000 Hive MLS
- 1999-06-04 Listed $31,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,079 · +24.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…