419 W Jackson St · Sigourney, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity awaits with this home situated near the edge of town, offering both convenience and potential! Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, the home boasts generously sized rooms with great natural light and a functional layout. These great spaces provide a solid foundation to update and customize to your vision. Outside, you’ll find a fenced yard with plenty of space for pets, play, or future landscaping improvements. A two-car detached garage is also included. With some TLC and finishing touches, this property could shine as a rental, flip, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located with easy access to town amenities while still enjoying a quieter setting. Property is being sold As-Is.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Quieter setting
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#108 in IA, #2,086 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sigourney Community School District (rural): math 76% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #122 of 289 in IA (top 42%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Keokuk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Keokuk County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $55k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.13%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,451
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -25.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 S Main St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,012 (+0%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $74 | 78 |
| 220 W Washington St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (-9%) | 1mo | $97,500 | $107 | 68 |
| 612 S Stone St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 13mo | $153,500 | $152 | 63 |
| 114 W Walnut St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,114 (+10%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 208 E Jackson St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-10%) | 22mo | $30,000 | $33 | 50 |
| 303 E Washington St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+8%) | 22mo | $139,900 | $129 | 43 |
| 710 W Oak St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+13%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $110 | 39 |
| 513 East South St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+14%) | 15mo | $93,000 | $81 | 27 |
| 506 S East St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+14%) | 21mo | $65,500 | $57 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $55,556
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.89×
- Total profit
- $154,168
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52591
- Home prices YoY
- 22.5%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $933 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $79,900 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Investor opportunity awaits with this home situated near the edge of town, offering both convenience and potential! Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, the home boasts generously sized rooms with great natural light and a functional layout. These great spaces provide a solid foundation to update and customize to your vision. Outside, you’ll find a fenced yard with plenty of space for pets, play, or future landscaping improvements. A two-car detached garage is also included. With some TLC and finishing touches, this property could shine as a rental, flip, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located with easy access to town amenities while still enjoying a quieter setting. Property is being sold As-Is.
-
2026-02-17$89,900 Active 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Investor opportunity awaits with this home situated near the edge of town, offering both convenience and potential! Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, the home boasts generously sized rooms with great natural light and a functional layout. These great spaces provide a solid foundation to update and customize to your vision. Outside, you’ll find a fenced yard with plenty of space for pets, play, or future landscaping improvements. A two-car detached garage is also included. With some TLC and finishing touches, this property could shine as a rental, flip, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located with easy access to town amenities while still enjoying a quieter setting. Property is being sold As-Is.
-
2022-05-04soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,202 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$52/yr (+$4/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,150
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$896
- − Management
- −$896
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,054
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$253
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sigourney Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926280
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,250
- Composite
- 60.52/100
- National rank
- #840
- State rank
- #122 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sigourney
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #2086
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sigourney, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,646
Population outlook (Keokuk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,354 people
- By 2030
- 8,885 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 7,956 · -14.9%
- By 2050
- 7,123 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 5,777 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 4,808 · -48.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% English 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Keokuk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.7% · R 75.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.08%
- Current HPI
- 256.0682
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+45.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $79,900 ICAARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $89,900 ICAARMLS
- 2022-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,150 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…