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15421 Mapleridge St
C+ Composite 62.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$77,600

15421 Mapleridge St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 192 Days on market
Built 1939 6,098 sqft lot $54/sqft · 373% above area Est $69k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable colonial with so much appeal! 3 bedroom and 1.1 bathrooms with detached garage. There is no access to the interior. Interior inspections are not available and property is being sold as is. Please do not trespass. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1939

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $537 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $78k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,288 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.04%
Cash-on-cash
27.69%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,124
List price
$77,600
Delta
12.26%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15309 Mapleridge St 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,348 (-7%) 3mo $116,000 $86 82
15469 Troester St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,375 (-5%) 1mo $60,000 $44 81
15430 Mapleridge St 0.03mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (-9%) 1mo $123,000 $93 76
11336 Courville St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,425 (-2%) 0mo $62,500 $44 65
12230 Lansdowne St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,426 (-2%) 3mo $56,000 $39 64
14841 Maddelein St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,516 (+5%) 3mo $20,000 $13 62
15419 Young St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-14%) 3mo $54,500 $44 58
11323 Lansdowne St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,397 (-4%) 2mo $133,282 $95 58
15919 Eastwood St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (-7%) 4mo $47,000 $35 58
15411 Young St St 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-14%) 2mo $95,000 $77 56
11859 Laing St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,330 (-8%) 4mo $127,500 $96 56
11790 Payton St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,314 (-9%) 6mo $35,000 $27 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$17,201
Equity at exit
$11,570
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$47,551
Equity at exit
$6,709

Cash invested: $21,728 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,315 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$407
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $680
Max offer price $77,600
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,400
Closing costs
$2,328
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 0.05mi
12655 Kelly Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,150 $0.68 10d 1 0.36mi
12651 Kelly Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,150 $0.68 10d 1 0.36mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 0.37mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 17d 1 0.45mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 0.51mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 0.54mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 43d 1 0.56mi
16031 E 7 Mile Rd #5 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1204 $1,200 $1.00 2d 1 0.59mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 43d 1 0.61mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 43d 1 0.62mi
15604 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.63mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 17d 1 0.71mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 17d 1 0.71mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 0.74mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.78mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.81mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 14d 1 0.81mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 0.81mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 0.82mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.82mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 0.84mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 24d 1 0.84mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 43d 1 0.88mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 0.90mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 0.90mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 17d 1 0.96mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 43d 1 0.97mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.98mi
19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.5 996 $1,650 $1.66 14d 1 1.03mi
19435 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,300 $1.13 17d 1 1.05mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 1.07mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 1.08mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.10mi
16446 E State Fair St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 24d 1 1.12mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 1.13mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 1.17mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 1.18mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 1.18mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,600 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,600 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,600 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,600 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,600 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,600 Active 183 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,600 Active 182 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,600 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $77,600 Active 178 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $77,600 Active 177 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $77,600 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $77,600 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2025-12-08
    listed $77,600 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Adorable colonial with so much appeal! 3 bedroom and 1.1 bathrooms with detached garage. There is no access to the interior. Interior inspections are not available and property is being sold as is. Please do not trespass. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections.

  14. 2025-12-08
    listed $77,600 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Adorable colonial with so much appeal! 3 bedroom and 1.1 bathrooms with detached garage. There is no access to the interior. Interior inspections are not available and property is being sold as is. Please do not trespass. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections.

  15. 1995-09-14
    soldstatus $39,000
  16. 1994-07-19
    soldstatus $13,500
  17. 1994-05-17
    listed $14,000
  18. 1993-07-22
    soldstatus $25,466

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,177 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,186 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,777
− Mortgage interest
−$4,347
− Property taxes
−$1,177
− Insurance
−$388
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− Depreciation
−$2,257
Taxable income
$5,083
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,220
After-tax cash flow
$4,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+204.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $77,600 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $77,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 1994-07-19 Sold (MLS) $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1994-05-17 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1993-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,466 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,177 · -39.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…