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E9677 Cedar St
D- Composite 36.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0

$175,000

E9677 Cedar St · Munising, MI 49895
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,112 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1994 0.34 ac lot Est $167k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering comfort, functionality, and room to grow! The oversized half bath provides ample space to easily add a shower, creating the opportunity for a second full bathroom. Downstairs, the basement features two additional rooms that could be finished to expand your living space, entertainment area, home office, or guest accommodations. Enjoy the convenience of a 2-car detached garage, central A/C for those warm summer days, and a peaceful setting that’s just far enough out of town to enjoy privacy while still being close to everyday amenities. Step out onto the back deck — the perfect spot for morning coffee, weekend cookouts, or simply taking in the view of the large backyard with plenty of space to relax and enjoy the outdoors.

Key facts

  • Oversized half bath
  • Large backyard
  • Two additional rooms

Tags

OVERSIZED HALF BATHTWO ADDITIONAL ROOMS2-CAR DETACHED GARAGEBACK DECKLARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with electricity; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer: septic; Water: private well/point; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: One-story residential; Entry level: first floor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Basement foundation; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Deck; Shed and additional garage/outbuildings; Road frontage; Frontage approximately 100 feet; Lot is approximately 0.34 acres; Roads: city/county, paved, year-round

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on first floor (12 x 9); Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom (16 x 13); First-floor bedroom (15 x 8); First-floor bedroom (approx. 9 wide)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main/first floor (approx. 9 x 7); Two total baths/lavatories, one lavatory
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central A/C; Gas water heater; Natural gas as heat fuel
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (20.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (38.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (38.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.8% in Munising — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#338 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Munising Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #241 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: William G Mather Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #547 of 1,397 statewide, top 41%, 249 students, 49% FRL); Munising High And Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #372 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 305 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Alger County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
  • Alger County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $98k; list at $175k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $108,479 (38.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.99%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
13.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
N6097 Cedar St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,276 (+15%) 4mo $120,000 $94 53
N6317 Connors Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,168 (+5%) 16mo $190,000 $163 51
E9660 Prospect St 0.27mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-10%) 22mo $150,000 $150 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$48,011
Equity at exit
$121,215
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$149,108
Equity at exit
$230,204

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49895

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $840/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$-204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,343
Max offer price $139,022
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-105 -5% $-154 +0% $-204 +5% $-253 +10% $-303
Rent -10% $-289 -5% $-247 +0% $-204 +5% $-161 +10% $-118
Rate -1.0pp $-116 -0.5pp $-159 base $-204 +0.5pp $-249 +1.0pp $-295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $182,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $182,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $182,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $182,000 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $182,000 Active 10 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $182,000 Active 9 DOM
  19. 2026-05-21
    listed $182,000 Active 816-char remark
    Show marketing remark (816 chars)

    Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering comfort, functionality, and room to grow! The oversized half bath provides ample space to easily add a shower, creating the opportunity for a second full bathroom. Downstairs, the basement features two additional rooms that could be finished to expand your living space, entertainment area, home office, or guest accommodations. Enjoy the convenience of a 2-car detached garage, central A/C for those warm summer days, and a peaceful setting that’s just far enough out of town to enjoy privacy while still being close to everyday amenities. Step out onto the back deck — the perfect spot for morning coffee, weekend cookouts, or simply taking in the view of the large backyard with plenty of space to relax and enjoy the outdoors.

  20. 2026-05-21
    listed $182,000 Active 816-char remark
    Show marketing remark (816 chars)

    Discover the potential in this spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering comfort, functionality, and room to grow! The oversized half bath provides ample space to easily add a shower, creating the opportunity for a second full bathroom. Downstairs, the basement features two additional rooms that could be finished to expand your living space, entertainment area, home office, or guest accommodations. Enjoy the convenience of a 2-car detached garage, central A/C for those warm summer days, and a peaceful setting that’s just far enough out of town to enjoy privacy while still being close to everyday amenities. Step out onto the back deck — the perfect spot for morning coffee, weekend cookouts, or simply taking in the view of the large backyard with plenty of space to relax and enjoy the outdoors.

  21. 2005-07-14
    soldstatus $97,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$840 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,768 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$927/yr (+$77/mo · 110.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,017
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$840
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$5,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,362
After-tax cash flow
$-1,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Munising Public Schools
NCES district ID
2624810
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$39,446
Composite
32.16/100
National rank
#5790
State rank
#241 of 540 in MI

Livability — Munising

Score
69/100
State rank
#338
US rank
#8357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
863

Population outlook (Alger County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,895 people
By 2030
8,541 · -4.0%
By 2040
7,706 · -13.4%
By 2050
6,904 · -22.4%
By 2075
5,760 · -35.2%
By 2100
4,414 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Native American 14% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Alger

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-25.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.7 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+2.5 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.00%
Current HPI
187.235
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $182,000 UPAR
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $182,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $840 · -42.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…