17226 Palisades Cir · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$1,250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Large patio
- Large storage room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $1.25M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.05M (16.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $946k (24.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $946k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,459/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($190k/yr) (locally 688% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.21M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $240k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $367k; list at $1.25M implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.89%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,416,209
- List price
- $1,250,000
- Delta
- -11.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-231,256
- Equity at exit
- $186,379
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-98,513
- Equity at exit
- $108,077
Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90272
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 317
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,459 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,555
- Tax from tax record
- −$713 /mo · $8,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$521
- HOA
- −$820
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,986
- Net cashflow
- $-1,136
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-428 | -5% $-782 | +0% $-1,136 | +5% $-1,490 | +10% $-1,844 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,883 | -5% $-1,510 | +0% $-1,136 | +5% $-762 | +10% $-389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-506 | -0.5pp $-818 | base $-1,136 | +0.5pp $-1,460 | +1.0pp $-1,789 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $312,500
- Closing costs
- $37,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17241 Palisades Cir Pacific Palisades, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1963 | $6,300 | $3.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 16891 Avenida de Santa Ynez Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3098 | $8,500 | $2.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 17097 Palisades Cir Pacific Palisades, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1998 | $6,950 | $3.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 17083 Palisades Cir Pacific Palisades, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2086 | $6,850 | $3.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1394 Avenida de Cortez Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2976 | $12,500 | $4.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 17230 Avenida de la Herradura Pacific Palisades, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2773 | $10,050 | $3.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 15270 Palisades Dr Los Angeles, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1872 | $27,650 | $14.77 | 0d | 4 | 0.25mi |
| 17265 Avenida de la Herradura Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3130 | $9,500 | $3.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 17265 Avenida de la Herradura Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3130 | $10,000 | $3.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1666 Michael Ln Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2467 | $8,000 | $3.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1316 Avenida de Cortez Pacific Palisades, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1995 | $9,500 | $4.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1288 Calle de Sevilla Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3164 | $9,000 | $2.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1470 Paseo de Oro Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3183 | $12,000 | $3.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 16718 Calle Arbolada Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3502 | $13,750 | $3.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 16646 Calle Brittany Pacific Palisades, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3466 | $13,500 | $3.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1409 Lachman Ln Pacific Palisades, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3280 | $25,000 | $7.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $820 · $9,840/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.
-
2026-04-28price $1,250,000 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.
-
2026-03-24$1,490,000 Active 877-char remark
Show marketing remark (877 chars)
Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.
-
2025-03-05status Active
-
2024-11-04Active
-
1987-02-25soldstatus $367,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,550 · $713/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,500 · $792/mo
- Expected delta
- +$950/yr (+$79/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone D · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $113,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$70,019
- − Property taxes
- −$8,550
- − Insurance
- −$6,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,081
- − Management
- −$9,081
- − HOA
- −$9,840
- − Depreciation
- −$36,364
- Taxable loss
- −$35,678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,563
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,390
- Household income
- $189,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 9% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.51%
- Current HPI
- 350.2712
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.38%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+240.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — TheMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $1,250,000 TheMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $1,490,000 TheMLS
- 2025-03-05 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2024-11-04 Listed — TheMLS
- 1987-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $367,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $8,550 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…