CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
17226 Palisades Cir
D Composite 40.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.2/10.0

$1,250,000

17226 Palisades Cir · Los Angeles, CA 90272
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,725 sqft · Condo public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1983 $459/sqft · 12% below area Est $1416k · 12% under $820/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Large patio
  • Large storage room

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLLARGE PATIOCOZY FIREPLACELARGE STORAGE ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.05M (16.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $946k (24.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $946k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,459/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($190k/yr) (locally 688% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.21M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $240k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $367k; list at $1.25M implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $945,889 (24.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,416,209
List price
$1,250,000
Delta
-11.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-231,256
Equity at exit
$186,379
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-98,513
Equity at exit
$108,077

Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90272

Home prices YoY
-2.6%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
317
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,459 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,555
Tax from tax record
$713 /mo · $8,550/yr
Insurance
$521
HOA
$820
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,986
Net cashflow
$-1,136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,897
Max offer price $1,049,328
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-428 -5% $-782 +0% $-1,136 +5% $-1,490 +10% $-1,844
Rent -10% $-1,883 -5% $-1,510 +0% $-1,136 +5% $-762 +10% $-389
Rate -1.0pp $-506 -0.5pp $-818 base $-1,136 +0.5pp $-1,460 +1.0pp $-1,789

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$312,500
Closing costs
$37,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17241 Palisades Cir Pacific Palisades, CA 3.0 2.5 1963 $6,300 $3.21 25d 1 0.06mi
16891 Avenida de Santa Ynez Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.0 3098 $8,500 $2.74 44d 1 0.11mi
17097 Palisades Cir Pacific Palisades, CA 3.0 2.5 1998 $6,950 $3.48 44d 1 0.14mi
17083 Palisades Cir Pacific Palisades, CA 3.0 3.5 2086 $6,850 $3.28 44d 1 0.14mi
1394 Avenida de Cortez Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.0 2976 $12,500 $4.20 22d 1 0.18mi
17230 Avenida de la Herradura Pacific Palisades, CA 3.0 2.5 2773 $10,050 $3.62 44d 1 0.25mi
15270 Palisades Dr Los Angeles, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1872 $27,650 $14.77 0d 4 0.25mi
17265 Avenida de la Herradura Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.5 3130 $9,500 $3.04 16d 1 0.30mi
17265 Avenida de la Herradura Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.5 3130 $10,000 $3.19 25d 1 0.30mi
1666 Michael Ln Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.5 2467 $8,000 $3.24 44d 1 0.33mi
1316 Avenida de Cortez Pacific Palisades, CA 3.0 2.0 1995 $9,500 $4.76 22d 1 0.38mi
1288 Calle de Sevilla Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.0 3164 $9,000 $2.84 15d 1 0.48mi
1470 Paseo de Oro Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 4.0 3183 $12,000 $3.77 44d 1 0.68mi
16718 Calle Arbolada Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.5 3502 $13,750 $3.93 18d 1 0.75mi
16646 Calle Brittany Pacific Palisades, CA 3.0 3.5 3466 $13,500 $3.89 44d 1 0.88mi
1409 Lachman Ln Pacific Palisades, CA 4.0 3.5 3280 $25,000 $7.62 2d 1 1.28mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$820 · $9,840/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 877-char remark
    Show marketing remark (877 chars)

    Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.

  2. 2026-04-28
    price $1,250,000 877-char remark
    Show marketing remark (877 chars)

    Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.

  3. 2026-03-24
    listed $1,490,000 Active 877-char remark
    Show marketing remark (877 chars)

    Welcome to 17226 Palisades Circle, nestled in the tranquil and highly sought-after Pacific Palisades. This spacious 2,725 sq. ft. split-level corner unit offers 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, perfectly balancing convenience and privacy. Just a few feet from the sparkling community pool, the home provides easy access to leisure and relaxation. Inside, an open, sunlit layout features high ceilings and a living room with a cozy fireplace that opens to a large patio overlooking the pool. A powder room on the main level is ideal for guests, while all bedrooms and two additional bathrooms are located upstairs. The attached two-car garage offers direct access for effortless daily living, along with a large storage room/office off the garage. Experience the coveted Palisades lifestyle with this well-positioned and inviting home. Trust sale, court confirmation is not required.

  4. 2025-03-05
    status Active
  5. 2024-11-04
    listed Active
  6. 1987-02-25
    soldstatus $367,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,550 · $713/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,500 · $792/mo
Expected delta
+$950/yr (+$79/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone D · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$113,507
− Mortgage interest
−$70,019
− Property taxes
−$8,550
− Insurance
−$6,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,081
− Management
−$9,081
− HOA
−$9,840
− Depreciation
−$36,364
Taxable loss
−$35,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,563
After-tax cash flow
$-5,069/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,390
Household income
$189,713
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
688.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 9% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.51%
Current HPI
350.2712
Rent YoY
▲ 7.38%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+240.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending TheMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $1,250,000 TheMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $1,490,000 TheMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Listed TheMLS
  • 1987-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $367,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,550 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…