312 Carson Ave · Las Animas, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2 bed, 1 bathroom home all on 1 level. Accessible handicap front door with cement ramp as well as low maintenance stucco exterior. This home is move in ready or can easily by upgraded by adding new flooring and a fresh coat of paint to make it your own.
Key facts
- Cement ramp
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Irregular lot; Directions: From Hwy 50 turn west on 3rd Street, then south on Carson Ave; home is on the east side of the road.
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Evaporative cooling and window unit(s)
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Double-pane windows; Refrigerator included; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.4% in Las Animas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#89 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Las Animas School District No. Re-1 (town): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #76 of 86 in CO (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Bent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 526 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 526 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.48%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 Elm Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,252 (+4%) | 5mo | $62,500 | $50 | 83 |
| 120 Elm Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (0%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $58 | 79 |
| 350 Vigil Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-5%) | 14mo | $130,500 | $114 | 72 |
| 710 5th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,162 (-3%) | 10mo | $44,000 | $38 | 67 |
| 509 5th St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (-15%) | 3mo | $93,000 | $91 | 63 |
| 204 St. Vrain Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,073 (-11%) | 14mo | $152,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 1124 5th St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,142 (-5%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $123 | 51 |
| 647 Garfield Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (+1%) | 21mo | $148,500 | $122 | 50 |
| 735 Poplar Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-7%) | 10mo | $122,000 | $109 | 42 |
| 1047 Maple Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,108 (-8%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $99 | 41 |
| 134 11th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,329 (+11%) | 7mo | $58,000 | $44 | 38 |
| — | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,353 (+13%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $26 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $754
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $20,731
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81054
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,016 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $423/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-17status $92,000 Pending 526 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 526 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 525 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $92,000 Active 523 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $92,000 Active 522 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $92,000 Active 519 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $92,000 Active 518 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 517 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $92,000 Active 515 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $92,000 Active 513 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $92,000 Active 512 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 511 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 510 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 509 DOM
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2026-05-20price $92,000
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2025-12-30price $99,000
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2025-07-02price $105,000
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2025-04-24price $110,000
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2025-01-06$115,000 Active
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2024-06-12status Active
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2024-05-10price $115,000
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2024-01-12status Active
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2023-06-23$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $423 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$83/yr (+$7/mo · 19.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$423
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$975
- − Management
- −$975
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $1,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$366
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Las Animas School District No. Re-1
- NCES district ID
- 0805250
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,597
- Composite
- 17.94/100
- National rank
- #8993
- State rank
- #76 of 86 in CO
Livability — Las Animas
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #7896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Las Animas, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,760
Population outlook (Bent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,223 people
- By 2030
- 4,985 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 4,592 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 4,207 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 3,216 · -38.4%
- By 2100
- 2,347 · -55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bent
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.9) · D 29.5% · R 68.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -38.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.76%
- Current HPI
- 218.1482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-23.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $92,000 PARMLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $99,000 PARMLS
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $105,000 PARMLS
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $110,000 PARMLS
- 2025-01-06 Listed $115,000 PARMLS
- 2024-06-12 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2024-05-10 Price Changed $115,000 PARMLS
- 2024-01-12 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2023-06-23 Listed $120,000 PARMLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $423 · +267.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…