224 N Main St · Aurelia, IA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is a well-maintained, move-in ready home located in downtown Aurelia. This two bedroom/ two bath home keeps you close to downtown activities yet has enough yard to have the feel of a quite single family home. Living area has beautiful hardwood flooring and custom woodwork including a built in cabinet. Two car alley access garage gives you storage space or off street parking. The full basement is very clean and dry and could be used as additional family space. Furnace, AC, and water heater are all up to date, Come take a look today.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1949
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#175 in IA, #3,147 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 10 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($653 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Cherokee County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.40%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,776
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Maple St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 877 (-3%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $40 | 83 |
| 624 E 5th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+6%) | 4mo | $42,500 | $44 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $23,682
- Equity at exit
- $47,542
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $68,011
- Equity at exit
- $77,465
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51005
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $528/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $173 | -5% $146 | +0% $119 | +5% $92 | +10% $66 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $49 | -5% $84 | +0% $119 | +5% $154 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $167 | -0.5pp $143 | base $119 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-13$94,500 Active
-
2024-09-25soldstatus $71,000 Closed 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Here is a well-maintained, move-in ready home located in downtown Aurelia. This two bedroom/ two bath home keeps you close to downtown activities yet has enough yard to have the feel of a quite single family home. Living area has beautiful hardwood flooring and custom woodwork including a built in cabinet. Two car alley access garage gives you storage space or off street parking. The full basement is very clean and dry and could be used as additional family space. Furnace, AC, and water heater are all up to date, Come take a look today.
-
2024-09-25soldstatus $71,000
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Here is a well-maintained, move-in ready home located in downtown Aurelia. This two bedroom/ two bath home keeps you close to downtown activities yet has enough yard to have the feel of a quite single family home. Living area has beautiful hardwood flooring and custom woodwork including a built in cabinet. Two car alley access garage gives you storage space or off street parking. The full basement is very clean and dry and could be used as additional family space. Furnace, AC, and water heater are all up to date, Come take a look today.
-
2024-08-26status Pending 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Here is a well-maintained, move-in ready home located in downtown Aurelia. This two bedroom/ two bath home keeps you close to downtown activities yet has enough yard to have the feel of a quite single family home. Living area has beautiful hardwood flooring and custom woodwork including a built in cabinet. Two car alley access garage gives you storage space or off street parking. The full basement is very clean and dry and could be used as additional family space. Furnace, AC, and water heater are all up to date, Come take a look today.
-
2024-08-10$79,900 Active 542-char remark
Show marketing remark (542 chars)
Here is a well-maintained, move-in ready home located in downtown Aurelia. This two bedroom/ two bath home keeps you close to downtown activities yet has enough yard to have the feel of a quite single family home. Living area has beautiful hardwood flooring and custom woodwork including a built in cabinet. Two car alley access garage gives you storage space or off street parking. The full basement is very clean and dry and could be used as additional family space. Furnace, AC, and water heater are all up to date, Come take a look today.
-
2008-07-07soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $528 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,006 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$478/yr (+$40/mo · 90.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$528
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$848
- − Management
- −$848
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable loss
- −$137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,462/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Aurelia
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #3147
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aurelia, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,463
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,631 people
- By 2030
- 10,077 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 9,015 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 8,175 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 7,192 · -32.3%
- By 2100
- 6,738 · -36.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Portuguese 6% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.8) · D 26.5% · R 72.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -45.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.8 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Current HPI
- 258.1719
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+530.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-04-13 Listed $94,500 NWIA
- 2024-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-25 Sold (MLS) $71,000 NWIA
- 2024-08-26 Pending — NWIA
- 2024-08-10 Listed $79,900 NWIA
- 2008-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $528 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…