203 Noble Rd · Sylacauga, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 46.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed, 1 bath home situated on two lots with 840 sq ft of living space, located in the Sylacauga City School District. This property features a newer metal roof, central heat and air, and hardwood floors throughout with tile in the kitchen and bathroom. With solid updates already in place, this home just needs a little TLC to truly shine. A great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch and unlock its full potential.
Key facts
- Two lots
- Tile in kitchen
- Central heat and air
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($843 rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.3% in Sylacauga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sylacauga City (town): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #63 of 129 in AL (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Indian Valley Elementary School (553 students, 66% FRL); Nicholslawson Middle School (math 17% / reading 48%, grade F, #105 of 257 statewide, top 42%, 481 students, 68% FRL); Sylacauga High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 677 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 50% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.52%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $93,906
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -15.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 N Louisville Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 936 (+11%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $152 | 42 |
| 403 S Main Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 774 (-8%) | 22mo | $18,000 | $23 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-5,131
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $5,445
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35150
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $843 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $148 | +0% $120 | +5% $93 | +10% $66 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $54 | -5% $87 | +0% $120 | +5% $154 | +10% $187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $160 | -0.5pp $140 | base $120 | +0.5pp $100 | +1.0pp $79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 E Clay St Sylacauga, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12 E Clay St Sylacauga, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 600 S Broadway Ave Sylacauga, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $700 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$79,000 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
3 bed, 1 bath home situated on two lots with 840 sq ft of living space, located in the Sylacauga City School District. This property features a newer metal roof, central heat and air, and hardwood floors throughout with tile in the kitchen and bathroom. With solid updates already in place, this home just needs a little TLC to truly shine. A great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch and unlock its full potential.
-
2026-02-19price $195,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,119
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$810
- − Management
- −$810
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $197
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$47
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,396/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This home has solid updates already in place but needs minor repairs and cosmetic upgrades to fully shine. A fresh coat of paint and new kitchen appliances would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen appliances — old and outdated
- Minor bathroom fixtures — standard and dated
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and appeals to buyers
- Resale updated bathroom fixtures — enhances the bathroom's functionality and appeal
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and enhances the home's value
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen appliances · old and outdated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · standard and dated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen appliances — modernizes the space and appeals to buyers ↑
- Resale updated bathroom fixtures — enhances the bathroom's functionality and appeal ↑
- Both paint exterior — improves curb appeal and enhances the home's value ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sylacauga City
- NCES district ID
- 0103120
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,900
- Composite
- 26.64/100
- National rank
- #7170
- State rank
- #63 of 129 in AL
Livability — Sylacauga
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #14297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sylacauga, AL
- City population
- 17,118
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,118
Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,905 people
- By 2030
- 77,160 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 72,937 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 68,279 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 57,884 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 47,220 · -40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 32% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Talladega
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.65%
- Current HPI
- 240.527
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-59.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $79,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $195,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…