88 Bruce Wike Ln · Murphy, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$147,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
Key facts
- 1.06 acre lot
- Built 1985
- Listed 214 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee billed annually
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Open parking (gravel/dirt)
- Utilities: Private water supply; Septic tank
- Home design: One-level living area with additional finished lower level; Residential property, resale condition; Built in 1985
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Finished full basement
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck (open); Storm windows; Insulated windows; Gravel and dirt road access; Rolling topography; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the lower level (basement)
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace; Finished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($542/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in Murphy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#292 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Clay County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #73 of 178 in NC (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.32%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,223
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1887 Green Cove Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 21mo | $140,000 | $97 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $32,413
- Equity at exit
- $78,800
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $97,599
- Equity at exit
- $132,325
Cash invested: $41,216 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28902
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,197 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$772
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $802/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,800
- Closing costs
- $4,416
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $147,200 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $147,200 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $147,200 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $147,200 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $147,200 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $147,200 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-10pricedays on market $147,200 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 197 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-04-24price $160,000
-
2026-04-14price $160,000 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
-
2026-03-17status Active Under Contract 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
-
2026-03-06status Pending
-
2026-03-06status Active
-
2026-02-03price $170,905 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
-
2026-02-03price $170,905
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
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2026-01-02price $179,900
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2025-12-01price $195,000
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2025-10-30price $215,000
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2025-09-24$228,800 Active
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
-
2025-09-24$179,900 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Private Mountain Home!! Close to all the amenities offered in the beautiful Western NC mountains. Lakes, fishing, hiking and Harrahs Cherokee Casino in Murphy, NC. This property will be sold at auction and can be found at the following link: https://www. hubzu.com/property/94514418834-88-BRUCE-WIKE-LANE--Brasstown-NC-28902
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2005-06-09soldstatus $142,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$405/yr (+$34/mo · 50.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,359
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,245
- − Property taxes
- −$802
- − Insurance
- −$736
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$4,282
- Taxable loss
- −$2,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clay County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,205
- Composite
- 40.31/100
- National rank
- #3751
- State rank
- #73 of 178 in NC
Livability — Murphy
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #292
- US rank
- #12327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 966
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,855 people
- By 2030
- 10,820 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 10,527 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 10,099 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 9,094 · -16.2%
- By 2100
- 7,834 · -27.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -35.6pp · 2024: -50.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+42.5 2008: R+35.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.48%
- Current HPI
- 331.6715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+12.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — NEGBOR
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $160,000 NEGBOR
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $160,000 CSAOR
- 2026-03-17 Relisted — CSAOR
- 2026-03-06 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — NEGBOR
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $170,905 CSAOR
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $170,905 NEGBOR
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $179,900 NEGBOR
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $195,000 NEGBOR
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $215,000 NEGBOR
- 2025-09-24 Listed $179,900 CSAOR
- 2025-09-24 Listed $228,800 NEGBOR
- 2005-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $802 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…