20710 Reasoner Rd · Glen Park, NY 13601

$159,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market

Built 1972 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming ranch-style double-wide situated on a peaceful country road, offering the perfect blend of comfort and tranquility. This well-maintained home sits on a beautiful one-acre lot and features a detached two-car garage with a double paved driveway, complete with built-in shelving and a convenient lean-to off the back. Enjoy the outdoors with raised garden beds that make planting a breeze, along with mature peony bushes and lilacs that line the perimeter, creating a picturesque setting. A newer storage shed provides additional space for tools and equipment. Inside, the home has been lovingly cared for and includes newer appliances. The bathroom features double sinks and a walk-in shower,

Key facts

• Mature peony bushes
• Raised garden beds
• Lilacs

Tags

• DETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGE
• DOUBLE PAVED DRIVEWAY
• BUILT-IN SHELVING
• RAISED GARDEN BEDS
• MATURE PEONY BUSHES
• LILACS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Additional amenities require sign-in
• Financial info: Financial details require sign-in
• HOA & community: HOA and community details require sign-in

Exterior

• Parking: Parking details require sign-in
• Security: Security features require sign-in
• Utilities: Utility information requires sign-in
• Home design: Property type and design details require sign-in
• Construction: Construction and year built require sign-in
• Exterior features: Property details and lot information require sign-in

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen details require sign-in
• Bedrooms: Bedrooms available (details require sign-in)
• Flooring: Flooring details require sign-in
• Bathrooms: Bathroom details require sign-in
• Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details require sign-in
• Interior features: Open living spaces
• Laundry & utility: Laundry details require sign-in

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,002 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• General Brown Central School District (rural): math 39% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #407 of 590 in NY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $157,501 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.02%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $99,960
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
24491 County Route 53	0.51mi	2/1.0 (-1)	882 (+5%)	16mo	$105,000	$119	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.93×
• Total profit: $-3,040
• Equity at exit: $23,842

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.22×
• Total profit: $54,789
• Equity at exit: $13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13601

• Home prices YoY: -5.6%
• Rents YoY: 10.0%
• Active inventory: 223
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,623 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$153 /mo · $1,833/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$341
• Net cashflow: $224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,339

Max offer price $159,900

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,975
• Closing costs: $4,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-20
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-10
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-03-26
   listed $159,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,833 · $153/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,268 · $189/mo
• Expected delta: +$435/yr (+$36/mo · 23.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,479
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,957
• − Property taxes: −$1,833
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,558
• − Management: −$1,558
• − Depreciation: −$4,652
• Taxable income: $122
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$29
• After-tax cash flow: $2,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: General Brown Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3611910
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $57,237
• Composite: 41.75/100
• National rank: #3398
• State rank: #407 of 590 in NY

Livability — Glen Park

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #1002
• US rank: #19534

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Jefferson County · 47,417 people
• Metro: Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
• Population (ZIP): 36,839
• Household income: $58,791
• Rent vs Own: 51.4% rent · 48.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1634.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 111,748 people
• By 2030: 109,370 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 103,828 · -7.1%
• By 2050: 98,523 · -11.8%
• By 2075: 91,422 · -18.2%
• By 2100: 78,214 · -30.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -18.86%
• Current HPI: 316.636
• Rent YoY: ▲ 9.96%
• Metro: Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-20 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-04-10 Contingent — CNYIS
• 2026-03-26 Listed $159,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,833 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.