49 Somerset Ave · Palm Coast, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$346,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This stunning, single-story home showcases a covered entry, stone veneer accents and professional landscaping for extra curb appeal. Inside, discover an open floor plan with volume ceilings, luxury vinyl plank flooring and a spacious great room that provides access to a covered back patio. The modern kitchen boasts Woodmont® 42-in. upper cabinets, an island, quartz countertops and Whirlpool® stainless steel appliances. Relax in the primary suite, which features a walk-in closet and connecting bath that offers quartz countertops, a dual-sink vanity, linen closet and walk-in shower with tile surround. Other highlights include ENERGY STAR® certified lighting, Moen® faucets and Kohler® sinks. See sales counselor for approximate timing required for move-in ready homes.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Quartz countertops
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply
- Financial info: Other annual assessment applies
- HOA & community: HOA required (monthly HOA approx. $32.67, association fee $98 quarterly); Community pool and playground; Community sidewalks and street lights; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 20x22); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Sprinkler system with recycled water; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story home; North-facing
- Construction: Cement siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by KB HOME
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Level, paved lot with sidewalks; Trees and landscaped yard; Irrigation equipment / reclaimed water irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Ice maker; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric and Natural Gas); Central air
- Interior features: High ceilings; Open floorplan with kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Gas water heater; Tankless water heater; Inside utility (family/great room adjacency)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $347k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (22.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (35.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Palm Coast — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Belle Terre Elementary School (math 64% / reading 64%, grade B, #552 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 1,190 students, 58% FRL); Indian Trails Middle School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B+, #124 of 571 statewide, top 22%, 1,518 students, 50% FRL); Matanzas High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 1,978 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1616 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($326k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.47%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-89,253
- Equity at exit
- $51,737
- IRR
- -35.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-132,936
- Equity at exit
- $30,001
Cash invested: $97,157 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 1616
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,224 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,820
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$32
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $-443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-247 | -5% $-345 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-541 | +10% $-640 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-619 | -5% $-531 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-355 | +10% $-268 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-268 | -0.5pp $-355 | base $-443 | +0.5pp $-533 | +1.0pp $-625 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,748
- Closing costs
- $10,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 Redbud Rd Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $1,825 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 152 Redbud Rd Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2131 | $1,850 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 165 Redbud Rd Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1795 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 199 Redbud Rd Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $32 · $384/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $346,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $346,990 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $346,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $346,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $346,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-11$343,990 Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
This stunning, single-story home showcases a covered entry, stone veneer accents and professional landscaping for extra curb appeal. Inside, discover an open floor plan with volume ceilings, luxury vinyl plank flooring and a spacious great room that provides access to a covered back patio. The modern kitchen boasts Woodmont® 42-in. upper cabinets, an island, quartz countertops and Whirlpool® stainless steel appliances. Relax in the primary suite, which features a walk-in closet and connecting bath that offers quartz countertops, a dual-sink vanity, linen closet and walk-in shower with tile surround. Other highlights include ENERGY STAR® certified lighting, Moen® faucets and Kohler® sinks. See sales counselor for approximate timing required for move-in ready homes.
-
2026-04-02$343,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,446 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,880 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- +$434/yr (+$36/mo · 17.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,437
- − Property taxes
- −$2,446
- − Insurance
- −$1,735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,135
- − Management
- −$2,135
- − HOA
- −$384
- − Depreciation
- −$10,094
- Taxable loss
- −$11,679
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagler
- NCES district ID
- 1200540
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 46.35/100
- National rank
- #2464
- State rank
- #20 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Coast
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #8721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Coast, FL
- County
- Flagler County · 113,412 people
- City population
- 105,049
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,391
- Household income
- $83,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 816.0
Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,474 people
- By 2030
- 131,864 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 146,176 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 157,398 · +27.5%
- By 2075
- 177,990 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 183,381 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Flagler
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.27%
- Current HPI
- 290.4607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $343,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-02 Listed $343,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…