20426 Almar Dr · Shaker Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move Right In, Much Charm, New Kitchen W/ Granite Counters, Newer Roof & Furnace, C/A, Hdwd Flrs, Brick Paver Driveway, Lovely Fenced Yard W/ Patio, All Appliances Stay, Walk To Rapid.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Brick driveway
- Well-maintained home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with electricity and garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 3-story home; Faces north; Wood siding
- Construction: Built using wood siding; Asphalt roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Patio; Porch; Full wood and chain-link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite counters; Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7; Basement level present (full, unfinished)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Main level bathroom included
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Granite counters; Recessed lighting; Storage; Soaking tub; Natural woodwork; Bay windows; Drapes; Shutters; Gas fireplace with stone surround in living room; Wood-burning fireplace option
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (19.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (2.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Shaker Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#15 in OH, #134 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Shaker Heights City (suburban): math 50% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #309 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mercer Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #670 of 1,584 statewide, top 45%, 307 students, 27% FRL); Shaker Hts Middle School (math 49% / reading 56%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 651 students, 30% FRL); Shaker Hts High School (math 34% / reading 70%, grade D+, #343 of 781 statewide, top 47%, 1,498 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.69%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,745
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -25.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3401 Helen Rd | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,590 (+2%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $195 | 72 |
| 3459 Helen Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,504 (-4%) | 11mo | $290,000 | $193 | 62 |
| 20975 Farnsleigh Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,786 (+14%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 19425 Chagrin Blvd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,655 (+6%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $151 | 44 |
| 18927 Chagrin Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,671 (+7%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 3581 Lytle Rd | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 1,792 (+15%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $195 | 38 |
| 3445 Colton Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,333 (-15%) | 19mo | $245,000 | $184 | 35 |
| 3571 Traver Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 1,790 (+15%) | 13mo | $405,000 | $226 | 32 |
| 18977 Chagrin Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (+9%) | 22mo | $257,500 | $151 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-53,385
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -34.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-79,801
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44122
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,096 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$674 /mo · $8,089/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $-235
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-114 | -5% $-175 | +0% $-235 | +5% $-296 | +10% $-357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-401 | -5% $-318 | +0% $-235 | +5% $-153 | +10% $-70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-127 | -0.5pp $-181 | base $-235 | +0.5pp $-291 | +1.0pp $-348 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3210 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1253 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 3d | 3 | 0.10mi |
| 3208 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1145 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3311 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,795 | $1.36 | 3d | 2 | 0.11mi |
| 20005 Farnsleigh Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1407 | $7,815 | $5.55 | 3d | 8 | 0.30mi |
| 19601 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1977 | $4,400 | $2.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 19333 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,075 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3614 Lynnfield Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,450 | $0.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18314 Chagrin Blvd Unit 1 Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,600 | $0.96 | 19d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3578 Latimore Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2113 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3665 Lynnfield Rd Unit UP Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,849 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18313 Newell Rd Beachwood, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1318 | $1,395 | $1.06 | 46d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3653 Winchell Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1775 | $2,350 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3538 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,449 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3538 Glencairn Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,449 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3538 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,449 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3601 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1890 | $1,500 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 19406 Wickfield Ave Warrensville Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1934 | $2,650 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17800 Winslow Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 23220 Chagrin Blvd Beachwood, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1324 | $3,535 | $2.67 | 3d | 54 | 1.12mi |
| 3634 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3636 Glencairn Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 18801 Invermere Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2134 | $2,200 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 19714 Shakerwood Rd Warrensville Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3584 Palmerston Rd Unit down Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,600 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 17424 Winslow Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1995 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3578 Ingleside Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,850 | $1.41 | 6d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3536 Normandy Rd Unit Vacant Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3524 Daleford Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2539 Warrensville Center Rd Unit Down Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,400 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3886 E 188th St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 6d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3982 Meadowbrook Blvd University Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3671 Daleford Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,675 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3671 Daleford Rd Unit Up Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,675 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3579 Riedham Rd Unit Up Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $1,600 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16818 Kenyon Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $1,900 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 677-char remark
-
2026-05-13price $215,000 677-char remark
-
2026-04-29$225,000 Active 677-char remark
-
2005-06-30soldstatus $190,000 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Move Right In, Much Charm, New Kitchen W/ Granite Counters, Newer Roof & Furnace, C/A, Hdwd Flrs, Brick Paver Driveway, Lovely Fenced Yard W/ Patio, All Appliances Stay, Walk To Rapid.
-
2005-06-23soldstatus $193,000
-
2005-04-06$199,500 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Move Right In, Much Charm, New Kitchen W/ Granite Counters, Newer Roof & Furnace, C/A, Hdwd Flrs, Brick Paver Driveway, Lovely Fenced Yard W/ Patio, All Appliances Stay, Walk To Rapid.
-
1992-11-06soldstatus $92,500
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Newly Painted Shingled Colonial On Popular Street-newer Kitchen And Bathrooms-redecorated Throughout-fenced Yard
-
1992-11-06soldstatus $92,500
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Newly Painted Shingled Colonial On Popular Street-newer Kitchen And Bathrooms-redecorated Throughout-fenced Yard
-
1992-10-31historical
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Newly Painted Shingled Colonial On Popular Street-newer Kitchen And Bathrooms-redecorated Throughout-fenced Yard
-
1992-05-18$99,900
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Newly Painted Shingled Colonial On Popular Street-newer Kitchen And Bathrooms-redecorated Throughout-fenced Yard
-
1986-07-11soldstatus $83,500
-
1977-06-01soldstatus $47,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,089 · $674/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,089 · $674/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$8,089
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,012
- − Management
- −$2,012
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$6,336
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,521
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shaker Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904475
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,421
- Composite
- 49.98/100
- National rank
- #1928
- State rank
- #309 of 656 in OH
Livability — Shaker Heights
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shaker Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 69,880
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,678
- Household income
- $101,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1294.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 29% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.81%
- Current HPI
- 200.5087
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+353.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $215,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-29 Listed $225,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-06 Listed $199,500 MLSNOW
- 1992-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
- 1992-11-06 Sold (MLS) $92,500 MLSNOW
- 1992-10-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1992-05-18 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 1986-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 1977-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $8,089 · +21.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…