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4425 Meridian Ave N #17
B Composite 70.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

4425 Meridian Ave N #17 · Everett, WA 98271
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,454 sqft · Manufactured public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1972 7.28 ac lot $58/sqft · 78% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A wonderful opportunity in a beautiful area! Seller is highly motivated and all reasonable offers will be considered. You won't find a better home or view at this price. Enjoy your view of Tulalip Bay from this spacious double wide home in peaceful Snug Harbor 55+ Park. The easy flow of this home offers open living space with bay views, two generous living areas, a kitchen and dining space with built in hutch, and a large primary suite with private bath and vanity. The second bedroom is ideal for guests or an office, plus a second full bath, cozy fireplace, and convenient laundry. Outside features include a covered carport, attached workshop, additional storage or hobby space, a low mainten

Key facts

  • Built in hutch
  • Private bath
  • View of tulalip bay

Tags

VIEW OF TULALIP BAYOPEN LIVING SPACE2 SPACIOUS LIVING AREASBUILT IN HUTCHLARGE PRIMARY SUITEPRIVATE BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 2.5% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Marysville School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #177 of 291 in WA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Quil Ceda Tulalip Elementary (503 students, 70% FRL); Totem Middle School (555 students, 71% FRL); Marysville Pilchuck High School (1,238 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $77,350 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
24.16%
Cash-on-cash
63.80%
DSCR
3.84
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$389,642
List price
$85,000
Delta
-78.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5130 2nd Ave NE 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-8%) 9mo $390,000 $290 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.1%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$65,211
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
66.4%
Equity multiple
7.47×
Total profit
$154,064
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98271

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,345 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$1,265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,324 -5% $1,295 +0% $1,265 +5% $1,236 +10% $1,207
Rent -10% $1,080 -5% $1,173 +0% $1,265 +5% $1,358 +10% $1,451
Rate -1.0pp $1,308 -0.5pp $1,287 base $1,265 +0.5pp $1,243 +1.0pp $1,221

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 43rd Pl NW Tulalip, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 14d 1 0.23mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-04-23
    price $85,000
  16. 2026-04-07
    price $87,500
  17. 2026-03-10
    listed $92,000 Active
  18. 2023-10-18
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed
  19. 2023-09-14
    status Pending
  20. 2023-07-14
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,143
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,251
− Management
−$2,251
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$14,706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,529
After-tax cash flow
$11,655/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marysville School District
NCES district ID
5304860
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$67,461
Composite
41.31/100
National rank
#7367
State rank
#177 of 291 in WA

Livability — Everett

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5489

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Snohomish County · 786,756 people
City population
173,457
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
30,838
Household income
$95,654
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
929.0

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
899,800 people
By 2030
960,975 · +6.8%
By 2040
1,074,447 · +19.4%
By 2050
1,171,954 · +30.2%
By 2075
1,384,849 · +53.9%
By 2100
1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 7% Asian 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -666.16%
Current HPI
305.285
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $87,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $92,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-18 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-14 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-14 Listed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-9.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $50 · -90.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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