29 Jf Kennedy Dr Unit J · Lewis Run, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away on a quiet dead-end street just off Route 219, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers peaceful living with convenience close by. Situated on a flat, oversized . 29-acre lot, the property features an oversized 1-car garage, spacious yard, with shed, and easy-maintenance exterior space perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable living room, utility room, crawl space, and scuttle attic for additional storage. Whether you’re looking for a starter home, downsizing opportunity, or investment property, this home combines privacy, functionality, and a desirable location.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Utility room
- Flat oversized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot (approx. 100 x 125)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#946 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Bradford Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #187 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($594 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.35%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,834
- List price
- $85,900
- Delta
- -43.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $23,941
- Equity at exit
- $38,624
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $66,440
- Equity at exit
- $59,525
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16738
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,168 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $261 | -5% $236 | +0% $212 | +5% $188 | +10% $163 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $166 | +0% $212 | +5% $258 | +10% $304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $234 | base $212 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 627-char remark
-
2026-05-13$85,900 Active 627-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,026 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,026 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$2,026
- − Insurance
- −$1,096
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,121
- − Management
- −$1,121
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $1,340
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$322
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradford Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204020
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,477
- Composite
- 42.31/100
- National rank
- #3261
- State rank
- #187 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lewis Run
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #946
- US rank
- #10350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lewis Run, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,018
Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,518 people
- By 2030
- 39,290 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 36,438 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 33,556 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 27,682 · -31.7%
- By 2100
- 21,726 · -46.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · McKean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $85,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,026 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…