26 Carmel Dr · Rome, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.7
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOW Taxes, LOW maintenance, ONE LEVEL LIVING in a quiet, private development. .. What's not to love?? Perfect as a starter home or an easy to maintain spot to retire. $735 lot rent includes: Taxes, water, sewer, garbage, road & common grounds maintenance. The home was manufactured in 2014, so all mechanics & structural items are only 10 years old. SPACIOUS kitchen with breakfast bar island adds extra cooking prep space. Brand NEW refrigerator! Slider walks out to the deck. The Primary Suite includes a spacious closet & full bath with tub. Seller is leaving the shed behind, as well as the portable A/C unit.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Breakfast bar island
- New refrigerator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.7% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Westmoreland Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #173 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Deforest A Hill Primary School (169 students, 0% FRL); Westmoreland Upper Elementary School (math 60% / reading 68%, grade B, #658 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 237 students, 0% FRL); Donald H Crane Junior/Senior High School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #776 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 414 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 24% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.53%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,760
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -38.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Abbe Blvd S | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-7%) | 21mo | $50,000 | $43 | 61 |
| 6587 Evans Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (-9%) | 2mo | $216,300 | $194 | 52 |
| 7005 Rome Oriskany Rd | 1.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (+8%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $176 | 45 |
| 126 Pazdur Blvd, S | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+18%) | 23mo | $81,000 | $56 | 44 |
| 6539 Evans Rd | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,073 (-13%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $224 | 40 |
| 6826 Stanwix Ave | 1.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,128 (-8%) | 14mo | $179,875 | $159 | 37 |
| 7207 Coleman Mills Rd | 1.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,473 (+20%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $156 | 36 |
| 6753 Sutliff Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,171 (-5%) | 23mo | $191,000 | $163 | 36 |
| 6330 State Route 233 | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,425 (+16%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $221 | 36 |
| 6173 State Route 233 | 0.93mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,449 (+18%) | 7mo | $184,000 | $127 | 29 |
| 6954 Rome Oriskany Rd | 1.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-15%) | 11mo | $284,500 | $271 | 27 |
| 6796 Rome Westmoreland Rd | 1.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+20%) | 21mo | $144,200 | $97 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $10,273
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $38,915
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $80,000 ($60/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 94 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +76.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13440
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $420 | -5% $392 | +0% $365 | +5% $337 | +10% $309 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $319 | +0% $365 | +5% $410 | +10% $456 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $405 | -0.5pp $385 | base $365 | +0.5pp $344 | +1.0pp $323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Land lease: $603
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Electricity connected (circuit breakers)Sewer connectedPublic water connectedCable availableHigh-speed internet available
- Home design
- Single-story (1 story)Double-wide mobile homeResale condition
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingPoured foundationExisting construction
- Exterior features
- DeckGravel drivewayRectangular lotPrivate road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas ovenGas rangeRange hoodRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetVinylVarious
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling
- Gas forced-air heatingWindow air conditioning units
- Interior features
- Breakfast barCeiling fan(s)Eat-in kitchenSeparate/formal living roomKitchen islandSliding glass door(s)Solid surface countersBath in primary bedroomMain level primaryThermal windowsSliding doors
- Laundry & utility
- Main-level laundryGas water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-29pricedays on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-08pricedays on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $89,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $89,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $89,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $89,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $89,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-29price $89,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $95,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,935
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$791
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,583/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting and landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Upgrading the shed — Improves functionality and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Upgrading the portable AC unit — Improves comfort and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westmoreland Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631050
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,671
- Composite
- 56.19/100
- National rank
- #1176
- State rank
- #173 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Oneida · 225,223 people
- City population
- 41,418
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,273
- Household income
- $65,497
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.58%
- Current HPI
- 339.3589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-26.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $95,000 CNYIS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $115,000 CNYIS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $119,000 CNYIS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $125,000 CNYIS
- 2026-04-19 Listed $129,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…