141 S Palmers Chapel Rd · White House, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great home is in great location for an investor or someone looking for a fixer upper! Lots of square footage under roof for your imagination to run wild. Prime location in White House. Almost a half acre lot. Roof roughly 5 years old. Being sold in As-is condition.
Key facts
- Half acre lot
- 0.47 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,930 square feet
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage with garage facing side
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Existing structure (previously built)
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.47 acres; Lot dimensions approximately 102 x 201.97 (irregular)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; Bedroom sizes approx. 13x12, 12x18, 13x12, 12x11
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in electric oven; Crawl space basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-184 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (10.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (29.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $213k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.1% in White House — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#46 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sumner County (suburban): math 44% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #12 of 139 in TN (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harold B. Williams Elementary School (math 55% / reading 51%, grade C, #103 of 952 statewide, top 11%, 694 students, 0% FRL); White House Middle School (math 49% / reading 33%, grade F, #37 of 333 statewide, top 12%, 758 students, 0% FRL); White House High School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #123 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 824 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 440 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,748 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (124 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumner County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.64%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $442,108
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -32.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 Kingwood Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,754 (+7%) | 7mo | $419,900 | $239 | 63 |
| 508 Kingwood Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,754 (+7%) | 12mo | $444,900 | $254 | 62 |
| 133 Pops Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,645 (+0%) | 4mo | $380,166 | $231 | 59 |
| 612 Silver Trce | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+13%) | 4mo | $474,900 | $256 | 58 |
| 516 Kingwood Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+13%) | 12mo | $454,900 | $246 | 54 |
| 535 Ballard Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+10%) | 9mo | $396,000 | $220 | 53 |
| 137 Pops Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,646 (+0%) | 16mo | $407,709 | $248 | 49 |
| 113 Larkspur Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,797 (+9%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $198 | 48 |
| 812 Tanager Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+13%) | 9mo | $465,000 | $251 | 48 |
| 759 N Palmers Chapel Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,421 (-14%) | 0mo | $437,000 | $308 | 44 |
| 357 Euclid Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,846 (+12%) | 12mo | $385,000 | $209 | 42 |
| 100 Mary Jean Way | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,765 (+8%) | 12mo | $421,843 | $239 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-66,670
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -28.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-97,644
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37188
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 440
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,125 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,988/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $-184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-15 | -5% $-100 | +0% $-184 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-354 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-352 | -5% $-268 | +0% $-184 | +5% $-101 | +10% $-17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-33 | -0.5pp $-108 | base $-184 | +0.5pp $-262 | +1.0pp $-341 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Larkspur Ct White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,975 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2940 U.S. 31W Unit V107 White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,770 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2940 U.S. 31W Unit V208 White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,620 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2940 U.S. 31W Apt O201 White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,770 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 901 Highland Dr White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $2,179 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-27$339,900 Active 265-char remark
-
1991-09-03soldstatus $87,700
-
1991-05-07soldstatus $86,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,988 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,129 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$141/yr (+$12/mo · 7.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,502
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,988
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,040
- − Management
- −$2,040
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,589
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,821
- After-tax cash flow
- $-392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumner County
- NCES district ID
- 4704020
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,998
- Composite
- 36.44/100
- National rank
- #4667
- State rank
- #12 of 139 in TN
Livability — White House
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #6984
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White House, TN
- County
- Robertson County · 49,504 people
- City population
- 18,241
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,241
- Household income
- $90,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 286.0
Population outlook (Sumner County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,284 people
- By 2030
- 223,902 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 253,892 · +21.9%
- By 2050
- 281,199 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 344,866 · +65.6%
- By 2100
- 384,369 · +84.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumner
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.5% · R 70.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+34.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.31%
- Current HPI
- 273.1271
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.67%
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+224.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $280,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $299,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $339,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $87,700 Public Records
- 1991-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $86,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,988 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…