633 S Queen St · Lancaster, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A solid three-bedroom, one-bath brick rowhome on Lancaster City's south side, with the major mechanicals already taken care of. Brand new gas furnace and water heater were both replaced in December 2024 — one less thing to worry about heading into ownership. The home spans three floors with approximately 1,400 square feet. The eat-in kitchen features exposed ceiling beams and flows into a comfortable living area. The spacious full bath includes a double vanity, a nice feature for a rental property. The unfinished basement offers laundry hookups and a front walkout entrance for added convenience. In the rear, you'll find a fully fenced in yard and 2 off-street parking spaces. Current t
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1910
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking with two spaces (total of two garage/parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick and masonry construction; Stone foundation; Assessor-recorded year built
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Daylight, partial basement with outside entrance, interior access and walkout level; At least two access exits
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.2% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
- Lancaster SD (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #500 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 292 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $170k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.33%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,032
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 Locust St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 | 1,444 (-6%) | 1mo | $213,000 | $148 | 71 |
| 39 W Farnum St | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 | 1,564 (+2%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 345-1/2 Beaver St | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 | 1,382 (-10%) | 2mo | $196,200 | $142 | 66 |
| 428 S Prince St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,420 (-7%) | 2mo | $253,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 529 Poplar St | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 1,560 (+2%) | 1mo | $283,000 | $181 | 62 |
| 542 High St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 | 1,554 (+1%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $117 | 61 |
| 631 Rockland St | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 | 1,638 (+7%) | 1mo | $293,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 314 S Ann St | 0.71mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+1%) | 2mo | $184,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 614 Saint Joseph St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,632 (+6%) | 0mo | $184,000 | $113 | 57 |
| 335 S Ann St | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 1,603 (+4%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 517 Saint Joseph St | 0.65mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,698 (+11%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $127 | 44 |
| 235 Howard Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,327 (-14%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $196 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,745
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,138
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17603
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,923 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $466 | -5% $418 | +0% $370 | +5% $322 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $218 | -5% $294 | +0% $370 | +5% $446 | +10% $522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $413 | base $370 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $281 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 Woodward St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 345 1/2 Beaver St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1382 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 549 Howard Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1439 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 49 W Farnum St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1820 | $1,650 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 513 Poplar St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,695 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 708 S Lime St Unit 3 Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1742 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 214 W Strawberry St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,345 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 609 Saint Joseph St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $1,695 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 529 Manor St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,635 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 40 Fairview Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 741 Manor St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 204 Elmshire Dr Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 118 N Prince St Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1274 | $4,703 | $3.69 | 14d | 48 | 0.92mi |
| 270 Kentshire Dr Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1512 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1330 Wabank Rd Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1423 | $2,062 | $1.45 | 14d | 21 | 0.98mi |
| 14 Coral St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 678 1/2 Columbia Ave Apt 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 611 S West End Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1589 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 403 N Queen St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $3,500 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 135 Grandview Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $3,295 | $2.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 337 W Lemon St Unit 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1588 | $1,895 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 101 Roselawn Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,785 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 738 E Madison St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1121 Spring Grove Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 520 W Frederick St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1713 | $1,895 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$169,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,468 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$216/yr (+$18/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,252
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,846
- − Management
- −$1,846
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $1,822
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$437
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213140
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,500
- Composite
- 15.52/100
- National rank
- #9301
- State rank
- #500 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lancaster, PA
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 176,170
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 67,571
- Household income
- $77,084
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2557.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -508.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.3324
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+107.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $81,850 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,252 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…