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4809 Wenda St
B+ Composite 77.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

4809 Wenda St · Houston, TX 77033
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,010 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1945 7,501 sqft lot $99/sqft · 21% below area Est $158k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller disclosure available

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story entry (single level)
  • Construction: Built in 1945; Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woodson School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 572 students, 99% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,638/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
12.74%
Cash-on-cash
23.04%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,689
List price
$100,000
Delta
-46.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4917 Higgins St 0.18mi 2/1.0 900 (-11%) 3mo $75,000 $83 71
4929 Paula St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 989 (-2%) 13mo $175,000 $177 70
4637 Carmen St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,084 (+7%) 1mo $135,000 $125 67
4814 Scenic Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-8%) 9mo $125,000 $135 58
4818 Holloway Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 996 (-1%) 15mo $179,900 $181 52
4522 Larkspur St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+3%) 7mo $155,000 $149 47
5503 Ricky St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,102 (+9%) 5mo $110,000 $100 44
4629 Larkspur St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (-12%) 1mo $75,000 $84 43
5345 Higgins St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,048 (+4%) 13mo $115,000 $110 43
5342 Wenda St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 975 (-4%) 14mo $149,000 $153 39
8426 Rockford Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 875 (-13%) 1mo $100,000 $114 38
5217 Pederson St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (+15%) 7mo $179,000 $155 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$22,237
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$81,564
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77033

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,638 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,283/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $957
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,650 $1.42 44d 1 0.18mi
4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 44d 1 0.23mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,850 $1.26 5d 1 0.50mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1472 $2,050 $1.39 44d 1 0.56mi
4205 Grassmere St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 824 $900 $1.09 24d 1 0.85mi
4207 Phlox St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 736 $962 $1.31 2d 1 0.88mi
4326 Larkspur St Unit 3 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 17d 1 0.88mi
4205 Phlox St Unit 2 BEDROOM 6 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 736 $860 $1.17 18d 1 0.90mi
4112 Grassmere St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 711 $700 $0.98 11d 1 0.90mi
4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1474 $1,775 $1.20 15d 1 0.93mi
9414 Heno St Unit 13 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 824 $900 $1.09 24d 1 0.98mi
4322 Groton Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 858 $1,395 $1.63 44d 1 1.00mi
11319 Murr Way Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,699 $1.40 19d 1 1.12mi
8521 Dosia St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,665 $1.62 13d 1 1.14mi
5426 Greylog Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,750 $1.45 24d 1 1.14mi
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 996 $1,295 $1.30 44d 1 1.21mi
4410 Bellfort Ave Unit 4404 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 812 $999 $1.23 8d 1 1.26mi
5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,185 $1.36 44d 1 1.26mi
10902 Faircroft Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1308 $1,480 $1.13 44d 1 1.26mi
8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1304 $2,250 $1.73 24d 1 1.29mi
4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,200 $2.91 13d 1 1.40mi
4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1375 $3,500 $2.55 11d 1 1.40mi
4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,500 $2.69 13d 1 1.40mi
7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 44d 1 1.42mi
4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,149 $1.32 24d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  4. 2026-05-17
    listed $100,000 Active
  5. 2026-05-08
    historical
  6. 2026-03-30
    listed $85,000 Active
  7. 2023-01-31
    soldstatus
  8. 2022-03-18
    soldstatus
  9. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,283 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,283 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,655
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,283
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,572
− Management
−$1,572
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$5,216
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,252
After-tax cash flow
$5,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,154
Household income
$38,071
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.49%
Current HPI
212.6472
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $100,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $85,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-01-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-03-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,283 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…