6745 Mangrove Dr Unit CO59 · North Merritt Island, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled near Florida's stunning coastline, Colony in Merritt Island offers the perfect blend of friendly community living and thrilling outdoor adventures. This all-age, pet-friendly neighborhood is a haven for those seeking a welcoming atmosphere with the convenience of coastal living. At Colony Park, you're just minutes away from pristine beaches, lush nature preserves, and the shimmering waters of the Indian and Banana Rivers. Whether you're into kayaking, paddleboarding, fishing, or simply soaking up the sun, outdoor enthusiasts will feel right at home. Our community fosters connections through shared spaces, local events, and a welcoming spirit that makes everyone feel like family.
Key facts
- Pristine beaches
- Built 2025
- Listed 363 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $43k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $43k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 3.4% in North Merritt Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lewis Carroll Elementary School (math 72% / reading 70%, grade A-, #320 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 626 students, 38% FRL); Thomas Jefferson Middle School (math 63% / reading 55%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 608 students, 43% FRL); Merritt Island High School (math 32% / reading 55%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,546 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 318 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 107.19%
- DSCR
- 5.77
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,000
- List price
- $42,900
- Delta
- -51.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375 Baker Rd | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-5%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $50 | 73 |
| 6838 Whaley Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 0mo | $89,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 5795 Broad Acres St | 2.24mi | 2/1.5 | 1,048 (+25%) | 28mo | $350,000 | $334 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $63,596
- Equity at exit
- $6,397
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.85×
- Total profit
- $166,329
- Equity at exit
- $3,709
Cash invested: $12,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 26 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 156.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $64,900 ($89/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 45 d
- This list price
- 31% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +18.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32952
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 318
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,733 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$54 /mo · $644/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $1,007
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,036 | -5% $1,021 | +0% $1,007 | +5% $992 | +10% $977 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $870 | -5% $938 | +0% $1,007 | +5% $1,075 | +10% $1,143 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,028 | -0.5pp $1,017 | base $1,007 | +0.5pp $995 | +1.0pp $984 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,725
- Closing costs
- $1,287
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6876 Marilane Merritt Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 6d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 1401 Dalbora Rd Unit B Merritt Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1011 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 6d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price reported as 42900
Exterior
- Utilities
- Electric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Home design
- Spec inventory — plan name: The Shoreline
- Exterior features
- Living area listed as 840
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- 2 total bathrooms
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-08-10days on market $42,900 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $42,900 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $42,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $42,900 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $42,900 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $42,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $42,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $42,900 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $42,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $42,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $42,900 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $42,900 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $42,900 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $42,900 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $42,900 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $42,900 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $42,900 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $42,900 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $42,900 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $42,900 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $42,900 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $42,900 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $42,900 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $42,900 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $42,900 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $42,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $42,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $42,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $42,900 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $42,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $42,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $42,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $42,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $42,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $42,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $42,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $42,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $42,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $42,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $42,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $42,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $42,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $42,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $42,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $42,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $42,900 Active 293 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,403
- − Property taxes
- −$644
- − Insurance
- −$1,012
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$1,248
- Taxable income
- $12,167
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,158/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minimal repairs needed and offers a good return on investment for both resale and rental purposes.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $10,000–$30,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — No roof material or condition visible, but the house appears old and in need of maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Merritt Island
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Merritt Island, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 623,254 people
- City population
- 24,834
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,613
- Household income
- $102,726
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.56%
- Current HPI
- 323.6021
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.53%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…