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80 Caldwell Ave
B Composite 71.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,700

80 Caldwell Ave · Washington, PA 15301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 902 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 336 Days on market
Built 1933 8,999 sqft lot $50/sqft · 69% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located on a corner lot and features a covered front porch, rear patio, and detached garage.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Rear patio
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTCOVERED FRONT PORCHREAR PATIODETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.8% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#77 in PA, #558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
  • Trinity Area SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #172 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $309 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $45k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,336 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
17.31%
Cash-on-cash
39.35%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,968
List price
$44,700
Delta
-69.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
160 Franklin Farms Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 922 (+2%) 0mo $221,000 $240 58
750 Weirich Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 825 (-8%) 4mo $129,500 $157 55
700 Wilmington St 0.40mi 2/2.0 972 (+8%) 15mo $150,000 $154 52
1660 The Cir 0.64mi 2/1.0 825 (-8%) 5mo $137,000 $166 51
114 Marra Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,035 (+15%) 14mo $160,000 $155 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.1%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$19,305
Equity at exit
$6,665
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
5.17×
Total profit
$52,160
Equity at exit
$3,865

Cash invested: $12,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15301

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$234
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,172/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $444
Max offer price $44,700
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,175
Closing costs
$1,341
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
360 Duncan Ave Washington, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 10d 1 0.92mi
410 W Hallam Ave Unit 410 Washington, PA 1.0 1.0 830 $850 $1.02 23d 1 0.93mi
235 W Chestnut St Washington, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 975 $1,110 $1.14 1d 4 0.95mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Located on a corner lot and features a covered front porch, rear patio, and detached garage.

  2. 2026-03-24
    price $44,700 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Located on a corner lot and features a covered front porch, rear patio, and detached garage.

  3. 2026-01-22
    price $49,900 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Located on a corner lot and features a covered front porch, rear patio, and detached garage.

  4. 2025-06-13
    listed $59,700 Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Located on a corner lot and features a covered front porch, rear patio, and detached garage.

  5. 2025-05-21
    soldstatus $19,000
  6. 2024-12-11
    soldstatus $81,900
  7. 2009-07-01
    soldstatus $63,900
  8. 2009-06-30
    price $62,900 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    TOTALLY RENOVATED HOUSE!! TASTEFULLY DONE, NEW KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE, NEWER BATH WITH CERAMIC TILE, NICE DINING ROOM AND LIVING ROOM WITH PERGO FLOORING IN LIVING ROOM ALL FRESHLY PAINTED, NEWER ROOF AND VINYL SIDING, NEWER ELECTRIC SERVICE AND FURNACE, DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED GARAGE, CEMENT PATIO

  9. 2009-06-26
    soldstatus $63,900 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    TOTALLY RENOVATED HOUSE!! TASTEFULLY DONE, NEW KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE, NEWER BATH WITH CERAMIC TILE, NICE DINING ROOM AND LIVING ROOM WITH PERGO FLOORING IN LIVING ROOM ALL FRESHLY PAINTED, NEWER ROOF AND VINYL SIDING, NEWER ELECTRIC SERVICE AND FURNACE, DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED GARAGE, CEMENT PATIO

  10. 2009-03-09
    listed $63,900 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    TOTALLY RENOVATED HOUSE!! TASTEFULLY DONE, NEW KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE, NEWER BATH WITH CERAMIC TILE, NICE DINING ROOM AND LIVING ROOM WITH PERGO FLOORING IN LIVING ROOM ALL FRESHLY PAINTED, NEWER ROOF AND VINYL SIDING, NEWER ELECTRIC SERVICE AND FURNACE, DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED GARAGE, CEMENT PATIO

  11. 2004-06-24
    soldstatus $19,000
  12. 2004-04-08
    listed $22,900
  13. 2004-03-11
    soldstatus $6,300
  14. 2003-06-06
    listed $6,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,172 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,172 · $98/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,561
− Mortgage interest
−$2,504
− Property taxes
−$1,172
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$925
− Management
−$925
− Depreciation
−$1,300
Taxable income
$4,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,083
After-tax cash flow
$3,842/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trinity Area SD
NCES district ID
4223760
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$55,734
Composite
43.24/100
National rank
#3056
State rank
#172 of 539 in PA

Livability — Washington

Score
85/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#558

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Washington County · 106,469 people
City population
50,348
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
50,348
Household income
$70,473
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1378.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.91%
Current HPI
238.6516
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+609.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $44,700 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $49,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $59,700 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
  • 2024-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
  • 2009-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,900 Public Records
  • 2009-06-30 Price Changed $62,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2009-06-26 Sold (MLS) $63,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2009-03-09 Listed $63,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2004-06-24 Sold (MLS) $19,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2004-04-08 Listed $22,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2004-03-11 Sold (MLS) $6,300 West Penn MLS
  • 2003-06-06 Listed $6,300 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,172 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…