4033 Crown Point Ave · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bed 1 bath ranch with full updates: roof, windows, kitchen, bathroom, flooring, you name it.
Key facts
- Full updates
- 6,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $129k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.26%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,111
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- 8.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4235 Redman Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+3%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $148 | 78 |
| 4425 Vernon St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $132 | 76 |
| 5328 Fontenelle | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $221 | 71 |
| 3620 Laurel Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $156 | 68 |
| 4656 Redick Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $229 | 66 |
| 6101 N 39th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 658 (-9%) | 12mo | $97,000 | $147 | 65 |
| 3730 Himebaugh Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+12%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $155 | 64 |
| 4015 Fort St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 4393 Laurel Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+7%) | 14mo | $122,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 4720 Nebraska Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $201 | 58 |
| 4215 Vernon Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 820 (+14%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $201 | 54 |
| 5424 N 33rd Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 622 (-14%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $96 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $78,664
- Equity at exit
- $116,213
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.25×
- Total profit
- $225,743
- Equity at exit
- $250,619
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68111
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,169/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3941 Himebaugh Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,350 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4460 Redman Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4815 Ames Ave Unit 3A Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $725 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4844 Taylor St Apt 4 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4844 Taylor St Apt 1 Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3138 Weber Cir Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4822 Sahler St Unit 48268 Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5615 Northampton Blvd Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 781 | $1,205 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-01-07$129,000 New 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Charming 2 bed 1 bath ranch with full updates: roof, windows, kitchen, bathroom, flooring, you name it.
-
2026-01-07historical
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Charming 2 bed 1 bath ranch with full updates: roof, windows, kitchen, bathroom, flooring, you name it.
-
2025-12-30$139,000 New
-
2017-10-13soldstatus $36,000 Sold
-
2017-09-27status Pending
-
2017-07-27price $45,000
-
2017-07-10$50,000 Active - New
-
2017-07-07$50,000 Active - New
-
2017-07-07historical
-
1998-06-15soldstatus $23,547
-
1998-06-10soldstatus $23,547
-
1998-06-01historical
-
1998-05-06$25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,169 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,232 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,063/yr (+$89/mo · 90.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,169
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$598
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,681/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,210
- Household income
- $42,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1913.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.82%
- Current HPI
- 358.7174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+416.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-07 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed $129,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $139,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-10-13 Sold (MLS) $36,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-09-27 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2017-07-27 Price Changed $45,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-07-10 Listed $50,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-07-07 Listed $50,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-07-07 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 1998-06-15 Sold (MLS) $23,547 GPRMLS
- 1998-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $23,547 Public Records
- 1998-06-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 1998-05-06 Listed $25,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,169 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…