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Drayton Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B- Composite 69.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

Drayton Plan · Laurel, FL 34275
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · Manufactured · 146 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Lake Village a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, brand new, beautiful 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1250.88 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in/near Nokomis, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, vinyl floors, high ceilings, and plenty of natural light. The island kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, and custom cabinetry, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious master suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities, walk in shower, and a walk-in closet. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a growing family. Outside you will enjoy a private backyard oasis, covered porch, and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Lake Village, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including a resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and a community garden. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, major highways, parks, and public transportation, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Master suite
  • En-suite features

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANISLAND KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCUSTOM CABINETRYMASTER SUITEEN-SUITE FEATURES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#529 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, cost of living D, amenities F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 751 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.55%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-24,330
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-34,088
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34275

Rents YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
751
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,086 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,939
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 138 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $159,900 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,800 Active 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,800 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,800 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-05-06
    price $162,800 1442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1442 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Lake Village a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, brand new, beautiful 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1250.88 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in/near Nokomis, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, vinyl floors, high ceilings, and plenty of natural light. The island kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, and custom cabinetry, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious master suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities, walk in shower, and a walk-in closet. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a growing family. Outside you will enjoy a private backyard oasis, covered porch, and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Lake Village, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including a resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and a community garden. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, major highways, parks, and public transportation, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

  15. 2026-04-17
    price $162,900 1442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1442 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Lake Village a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, brand new, beautiful 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1250.88 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in/near Nokomis, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, vinyl floors, high ceilings, and plenty of natural light. The island kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, and custom cabinetry, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious master suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities, walk in shower, and a walk-in closet. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a growing family. Outside you will enjoy a private backyard oasis, covered porch, and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Lake Village, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including a resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and a community garden. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, major highways, parks, and public transportation, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

  16. 2026-01-24
    listed $193,000 Active 1442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1442 chars)

    55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Lake Village a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, brand new, beautiful 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1250.88 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in/near Nokomis, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, vinyl floors, high ceilings, and plenty of natural light. The island kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, and custom cabinetry, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious master suite offers a peaceful retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities, walk in shower, and a walk-in closet. Additional bedrooms provide versatility for guests, a home office, or a growing family. Outside you will enjoy a private backyard oasis, covered porch, and low-maintenance landscaping, ideal for entertaining or unwinding. Located in the desirable Lake Village, residents enjoy access to a range of premium amenities including a resort-style pool, fitness center, clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and a community garden. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, major highways, parks, and public transportation, you'll have everything you need just minutes away. Whether you're looking for relaxation or recreation, this community has it all. Call today to schedule a tour!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,029
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$5,918
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$216
After-tax cash flow
$1,610/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This 2026 manufactured home in a 55+ age-qualified community is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates like painting and landscaping to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers
  • Both Lighting — Improved lighting can make the home more inviting and safer

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers
  • Both Lighting — Improved lighting can make the home more inviting and safer

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Laurel

Score
68/100
State rank
#529
US rank
#9888

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laurel, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,436
Household income
$89,369
Rent vs Own
11.7% rent · 88.3% own
Severe rent burden
338.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -329.70%
Current HPI
268.9918
Rent YoY
▼ -3.97%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $162,800 Zillow
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $162,900 Zillow
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $193,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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